August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Don't often see a Rain Warning in August!
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 11:40 am Don't often see a Rain Warning in August!
Run of the mill rainfall for the central valley desert. :shifty: :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Nimbus-cile wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 10:38 am Ah, that's too bad and so unlikely that it could happen to you two years in a row.

We cancelled our weekend at Cultus as well. Tent camping in this type of rain :thumbdown:
Ya sorry to hear all you tent camper enthusiasts hopefully some sun will appear next week for your camping enjoyment.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Updated modelled 24hr rainfall totals from 12:00AM Friday to 12:00AM Saturday. :clap: :wave:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png
rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png
nam-nest-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 12:26 pm Updated modelled 24hr rainfall totals from 12:00AM Friday to 12:00AM Saturday. :clap: :wave:


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png

rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png

nam-nest-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png
Those totals taken at face value would be amongst the top 10 wettest August days in recorded history for many across the Lower Mainland.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Canada Goose »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 12:55 pm Those totals taken at face value would be amongst the top 10 wettest August days in recorded history for many across the Lower Mainland.
For YVR.

Capture d’écran 2025-08-14 à 13.11.32.jpg
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Canada Goose wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 1:11 pm For YVR.


Capture d’écran 2025-08-14 à 13.11.32.jpg
Unfortunately Mr. G these totals are skewed for the lower mainland given its YVR. :x
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 11:40 am Don't often see a Rain Warning in August!
:o Mirage perhaps Ms. Raining goat's and chickens Creek. :D
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 11:40 am Don't often see a Rain Warning in August!
The rainfall warning has just been extended to Abbotsford and the Western Fraser Valley regions. :clap: :wave:

3:25 PM PDT Thursday 14 August 2025

Rainfall Warning in effect for:
Fraser Valley - west including Abbotsford
Rain, at times heavy, is expected.

What:
50 mm of rain, locally in excess of 80 mm over higher terrain.

When:
Friday and Friday night.

Hazards:
- Poor visibility in heavy rain
- Water pooling on roadways with an increased risk of hydroplaning
- Sudden rises in water levels in creeks and rivers

Where:
Metro Vancouver - North Shore including West Vancouver and North Vancouver, Metro Vancouver - Northeast including Coquitlam and Maple Ridge, Fraser Valley - west including Abbotsford, Squamish, Bowen Island, Gibsons.

Additional information:
An unseasonably moisture-laden frontal system will cross the B.C. south coast on Friday bringing heavy rain. The warm front arrives Friday morning with rain and strong southerly winds. The cold front arrives Friday afternoon and will bring the heaviest rainfall rates during the afternoon commute.

The rain will end late evening on the Sunshine Coast and after midnight across eastern Metro Vancouver and Fraser Valley.

Recreationalists are advised to be aware of the potential for sudden rises in river and creek levels in response to the heavy rain over the mountains. Heavy rain during the afternoon commute will result in poor visibility and an increased risk of hydroplaning.

Heavy downpours can cause flash floods and water pooling on roads.

If visibility is reduced while driving, turn on your lights and maintain a safe following distance.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@ec.gc.ca or post reports on X using #BCStorm.
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Here's the updated 24hr and 48hr rainfall totals for Friday from the 18Z Euro. This is looking like a substantial storm by summer standards. :clap: :wave:

Note: The 24hr map is from 12:00AM Thursday to 12:00AM Saturday while the 48hr map is from 12:00AM Thursday to 12:00PM Saturday.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png
ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-5370800.png
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 4:31 pm Here's the updated 24hr and 48hr rainfall totals for Friday from the 18Z Euro. This is looking like a substantial storm by summer standards. :clap: :wave:

Note: The 24hr map is from 12:00AM Thursday to 12:00AM Saturday while the 48hr map is from 12:00AM Thursday to 12:00PM Saturday.


ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_24hr_mm-5327600.png

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-precip_48hr_mm-5370800.png
Wow. Very significant rain storm by summer standards. Definitely top tier stuff if it verifies. :alert: :raindrip:
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 5:06 pm Wow. Very significant rain storm by summer standards. Definitely top tier stuff if it verifies. :alert: :raindrip:
This will be a summer travesty and erase what has been a delightful summer. :(
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 5:06 pm Wow. Very significant rain storm by summer standards. Definitely top tier stuff if it verifies. :alert: :raindrip:
We shall see but it may very well spell the end of the fire season. Or at least the beginning of the end.

And 50+ mm of rain should get mushroom season going.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Aug 14, 2025 6:16 pm We shall see but it may very well spell the end of the fire season. Or at least the beginning of the end.

And 50+ mm of rain should get mushroom season going.
That would be great.
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Re: August 2025 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Drizzling here, has been on and off since about 4:30 when it started with just a few drops, it's pretty steady now and everything is wet. :clap:
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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