November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

[Catnip]

Hoping the good stuff waits for the 2nd half of December, but beggars can't be choosers as they say.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Taken from Agassiz looking west must be warm & cold air at different levels creating the multi level cloud deck.

IMG_20251117_153607.jpg

[Typeing3]

12z GFS ensembles:

ens_image (51).png

12z ECMWF ensembles:

ens_image (52).png

12z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (53).png

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[Typeing3]

Hoping the good stuff waits for the 2nd half of December, but beggars can't be choosers as they say.

If there's any merit to the 1981-82 analogue below, then late December into mid January will be in play.

Screenshot 2025-11-17 170415.png

[AbbyJr]

Today's Euro runs are a reminder that we need to take every model solution with a grain of salt in the clown range.

Here's today's 12Z Euro:

ecmwf-deterministic-wcan-mslp_anom-4309600.png

And here's tonight's 00Z run for the same timeframe:

00Zecmwf-deterministic-wcan-mslp_anom-4309600.png

Polar opposite solutions. Which one will verify? Will any of them verify?

[John]

The trend is not our friend

But still

#believe

It’s gonna be a winter for the record books!

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

The trend is not our friend

But still

#believe

It’s gonna be a winter for the record books!

I give up frankly we just live in a warming climate forum friends.

[John]

I give up frankly we just live in a warming climate forum friends.

Hahaha you give up to easy it’s only November bro

[Hawk]

The trend is not our friend

But still

#believe

It’s gonna be a winter for the record books!

#teamJohnandthebelievers

[Hawk]

06z gfs update:
continues the bommier pineapple option

#nitoiswinningagain

[Glacier]

Crazy. I drove to San Francisco and that was difficult for me. Fun but difficult because of all the driving required.

It's a long drive. Not as difficult when you have multiple drivers and take 4 days to get home. Utah is not arid or semi arid. I know this because I've been there twice and it rained and snowed both times. Obviously it rains there more than it does in Vancouver.

It's so crazy, it was pounding rain on us driving northwest on i84 toward Idaho. Literally the second we crested Rattlesnake Summit, changing from the Great Salt Lake drainage basin to the Snake River basin, the rain stopped and it was dry! Talk about rain shadow effect! The storm was obviously moving straight north or even northwest a little.

Anyway, in southern Utah, it was +1 and snowing on us.

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At lower elevation, it was 7 degrees and raining but wow, amazing scenery!

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[wetcoast91]

06z gfs update:
continues the bommier pineapple option

#nitoiswinningagain

Thinking we will predominantly see an East based cold setup next month now. There's no real substantial blocking out in the pacific to facilitate any meaningful cold West of the Rocky's. Cold is building in the Yukon which will probably dump into the Midwest and progress eastward in early December.

[John]

Thinking we will predominantly see an East based cold setup next month now. There's no real substantial blocking out in the pacific to facilitate any meaningful cold West of the Rocky's. Cold is building in the Yukon which will probably dump into the Midwest and progress eastward in early December.

Lol

[tyweather]

Where is the snow?
Why Western Ski Resorts Are Dry and The ... sbCH9qujRj

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Thinking we will predominantly see an East based cold setup next month now. There's no real substantial blocking out in the pacific to facilitate any meaningful cold West of the Rocky's. Cold is building in the Yukon which will probably dump into the Midwest and progress eastward in early December.

A little to early to call it for the whole of next month, in my book, but the chance for cold air (and lowland snow) around the end of this month that some were model riding does now look like it’s going to stay east of the Rockies.