November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 21, 2025 5:07 pm Still thinking our main timeframe to score this winter will be in the Dec 20-Jan 15 period. Anything before that is a bonus.
Feels a bit like December 2022. Appetizer came early December followed by a brief warm up with the main cold and snow coming mid month. :wave:
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AbbyJr
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The GEM continues to show a classic arctic fart for next weekend on tonights 00Z run. Slightly warmer than the 12Z run but Abbotsford still gets strong farctic outflow winds. :clap: :lol: :wave:

Screenshot 2025-11-21 at 8.57.34 PM.png
Screenshot 2025-11-21 at 8.57.03 PM.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Typeing3
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (7).png
12z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (8).png



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20251122050223-200bbcf278cee2160f38609f670b06090a4c30ce.png
20251122050206-72804693e7d2bc5fcb9f6f8b22f748168b45f5ad.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

You all are over analyzing this cold period coming up. It’s November for Sh*t sake, all of winter is still ahead of us!!
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: ↑Fri Nov 21, 2025 10:08 pm You all are over analyzing this cold period coming up. It’s November for Sh*t sake, all of winter is still ahead of us!!
John! :o :lol: :wave:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

06z gfs says we are back in business for early december :flakey: :flakey:
:thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Nov 22, 2025 5:51 am 06z gfs says we are back in business for early december :flakey: :flakey:
:thumbup:
Keep believing my friend!
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Good trends in the models this morn
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

John wrote: ↑Sat Nov 22, 2025 8:53 am Good trends in the models this morn
Euro brings us a rex block :dance: that would develop into a AL pattern :dancepine:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:alert: :alert: 12z GFS :flakey: :flakey:
:hearteyes: :hearteyes:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The CMC keeps flip-flopping on the EPSgrams. For a few days it was leading the way in being below freezing, for example it was showing temperatures around -5 to -10C for Abbotsford, and then it suddenly flipped to showing temperatures close to 8-10C, and now it's back to -5 to -10C again.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 22, 2025 9:50 am Euro brings us a rex block :dance: that would develop into a AL pattern :dancepine:
Looks like strong zonal flow?
ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_84.png
ecmwf_uv250_namer_85.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Nov 22, 2025 5:51 am 06z gfs says we are back in business for early december :flakey: :flakey:
:thumbup:
Models are all over the place. Meaning they don't know.
What we do know.....

It's gon' rain!
West Abby. Elev. 290ft
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24/25 snow total: 29cm
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Radar wrote: ↑Sat Nov 22, 2025 1:07 pm Models are all over the place. Meaning they don't know.
What we do know.....

It's gon' rain!
:lol: WB Minion man.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Sat Nov 22, 2025 11:52 am The CMC keeps flip-flopping on the EPSgrams. For a few days it was leading the way in being below freezing, for example it was showing temperatures around -5 to -10C for Abbotsford, and then it suddenly flipped to showing temperatures close to 8-10C, and now it's back to -5 to -10C again.
Crazy pick a door l guess. :crazy:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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