November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The MJO still appears to be in phase 6, which isn't helpful for us, but it appears to be headed into phase 7 near the end of November. That could setup a favourable period into mid December.

Although, I have also read the phase impacts differ month to month.

:dunno:
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 2:01 pm The MJO still appears to be in phase 6, which isn't helpful for us, but it appears to be headed into phase 7 near the end of November. That could setup a favourable period into mid December.

Although, I have also read the phase impacts differ month to month.

:dunno:
Yeah, been through all this before wait and see really betting man says climo. :x
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

18z GFS shows an arctic front passing through the South Coast next Saturday evening. :14clown:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 2:36 pm 18z GFS shows an arctic front passing through the South Coast next Saturday evening. :14clown:
:shock: Whoa..thats only 7 days away

King GFS!!
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hawk wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 2:49 pm :shock: Whoa..thats only 7 days away

King GFS!!
Unfortunately, no ensemble support. :think:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 3:44 pm Unfortunately, no ensemble support. :think:
GFS continues the trend of underestimating the energy in the W Pacific.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Yeah, a very cold end of November and a very cold December too. Yeah. :14clown:

We could have as low as -3°C!!! :lol:

Capture d’écran 2025-11-22 à 17.15.32.jpg
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

We basically only have around 7 days left of meteorological Fall. :)
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

stuffradio wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 5:26 pm We basically only have around 7 days left of meteorological Fall. :)
The days start getting longer on December 12th! Well, not the days per se, but the afternoon light starts increasing then (no one cares about losing morning light until December 31st).

https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/canada/ ... &year=2025
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 5:16 pm Yeah, a very cold end of November and a very cold December too. Yeah. :14clown:

We could have as low as -3°C!!! :lol:


Capture d’écran 2025-11-22 à 17.15.32.jpg
Not sure where you get your info from Mr. Goose, maybe the NFS?

A BLAST of Arctic Air is on the way. Bundle up.

:14clown:
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 5:16 pm Yeah, a very cold end of November and a very cold December too. Yeah. :14clown:

We could have as low as -3°C!!! :lol:


Capture d’écran 2025-11-22 à 17.15.32.jpg
Patience... :gramps: :police:
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Catnip wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 5:38 pm Not sure where you get your info from Mr. Goose, maybe the NFS?

A BLAST of Arctic Air is on the way. Bundle up.
:lol: :lol: :lol:

I'll believe it when I see it...


If you want cold, move to the French/Swiss border.

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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Even better: -36.8°C at Sägistalsee, a sinkhole east of Interlaken, Switzerland.

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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 4:23 pm GFS continues the trend of underestimating the energy in the W Pacific.
Underestimates all the mountains between us and the Prairies, too.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2025 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sat Nov 22, 2025 6:58 pm Underestimates all the mountains between us and the Prairies, too.
Darn mountains… always ruining our fun.

:mrgreen:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

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