February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Forrest Gump]

Hahaha...not so much...

E75A9D50-DAD4-4644-AC27-83425FA73112.jpeg

[Typeing3]

Interesting writeup by Wolf Read on the "death" of January in recent times.

With seven years in a row of low to no snow, it is getting close to seeming like a new normal, a climatological trend. Indeed, this does appear to be the case for Vancouver.

The 30-year moving average, in essence tracking normal snowfall on a year-to-year basis, has been diminishing since the 1970s. At peak, during January 1975 and 1976, Vancouver had a normal January snowfall of 28.6 cm (11.3″). During this era, measurable snow fell in nearly every January, including for the long stretch of 1959 to 1980. After about 1980, snow-free Januaries became more commonplace.

The period 1939-1979 only had six snow-free Januaries, while 1980-2019 had 19. In essence, snowless Januaries have gone from about 1 in 7 years to 1 in 2. In addition, the 30-year sliding mean for total snow in 2019 is at its lowest point yet, just 9.2 cm (3.6″), only ⅓ of the mid 1970s. This is climate change, regardless of causes.

Also an image illustrating the severe decline in average January snowfall over the years in Vancouver. It dropped below December in the late 90s and is now dangerously close to dropping below average Feb snowfall.

[Forrest Gump]

0.8C and -3.9C dewpoint at YVR already.

I'm still at +4 but dew point at -4

[Typeing3]

Temps dropping off fast this eve. Pitt Meadows now down to 1.8C.

Currently 2.3C here after a high of 7.9C.

[Catnip]

1.2c here with DP of -5.2c

[Typeing3]

Wow, Monday's low has jumped way north on the 00z ICON.

18z:

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_30.png

00z:

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_28.png

[Typeing3]

Portland rainstorm. Seattle snowstorm part three?

[stuffradio]

Here's an initial idea of what it will look like for us in phpBB.

Screen Shot 2019-02-21 at 7.24.38 PM.png

[AbbyJr]

I'm starting work on developing a system that will allow us to get weather warnings displayed on the forum when Environment Canada issues them. If anyone would like to help with testing, please let me know! Just keep in mind you would have to be ok with maybe sometimes experiencing bugs if you helped, and report them to me!

I can help testing.

[Lisa0527]

I know it’s just the RGEM, but this makes me so happy

C46DFA70-F851-49FA-832F-D3F922991511.jpeg

[Storm]

Portland rainstorm. Seattle snowstorm part three?

When it's all said and done, it will be in Central Vancouver Island.

[Typeing3]

When it's all said and done, it will be in Central Vancouver Island.

Probably.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS future radar. 7am, 10am, 1pm.

[Roberts Creeker]

00z GFS future radar. 7am, 10am, 1pm.

That one's better! I'm in the blue for all three runs.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS total snowfall tomorrow. Highest amounts North of the Fraser as expected.