December 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:46 am

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:40 am Unbelievable.
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123.png

ThatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s yesterdayÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s 12z.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:48 am

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:46 am ThatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s yesterdayÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s 12z.

Yeah, just notice that. Just started. My bad.

Post by **Catnip** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:54 am

Ouch, ensembles warmed on the 3rd.

Cue Nito!

Post by **Bonovox** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:54 am

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:27 am The old GSF had a better score than the new. The new GFS is ranked third now.

Yes, the GEM has better verification scores than the GFS.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:57 am

Looks like the GFS is going towards a top heavy EPO block in the long range. Now we can start to worry about it only being backdoor cold.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:02 am

Catnip wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:54 am Ouch, ensembles warmed on the 3rd.

Cue Nito!

America once again leading the way!

Post by **Catnip** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:04 am

OP and ensembles are in decent agreement that there may be a meltdown south of the border.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:06 am

So we went from snow and arctic air to AR event and ridging. Climo has won.

Post by **Catnip** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:07 am

4B8657B5-0F40-4D61-B7B2-91A2E7B7E203.gif

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:08 am

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:06 am So we went from snow and arctic air to AR event and ridging. Climo has won.

Lol. Hold your horse. Premature Celebration

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:09 am

January 3 was always iffy, you should guys lower your expectations.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:21 am

Not much difference in the ensembles.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:25 am

12z GEM

gem_T850_nwus_25.png

12z GFS

gfs_T850_nwus_25-1.png

Post by **Catnip** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:26 am

Storm wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:21 am Not much difference in the ensembles.

TheyÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ve started to warm.

Post by **Catnip** » Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:27 am

Hopefully Euro/EPS holds firm.

CÃ¢â‚¬â„¢MON!