January 2020 Arctic Blast Contest

[Typeing3]

Forecast contest! Predict the low/highs for Vancouver (YVR), Abbotsford (YXX) and Victoria (YYJ). Monday thru Thursday. Predictions due 11:59pm Saturday. Tiebreaker will be to predict the coldest place and temp in the province.

Just to make things simple, your predictions should look like this (morning lows first, then aft highs)...

YVR
Monday: -6C/-2C
Tuesday: -10C/-5C
etc.

YXX
Monday: -7C/-4C
etc.

YYJ
Monday: -4C/-1C
etc.

[Typeing3]

YVR
Monday: -8C/-3C
Tuesday: -11C/-4C
Wednesday: -9C/-3C
Thursday: -7C/-2C

YXX
Monday: -11C/-8C
Tuesday: -13C/-8C
Wednesday: -11C/-5C
Thursday: -9C/-4C

YYJ
Monday: -5C/-1C
Tuesday: -8C/-3C
Wednesday: -6C/-2C
Thursday: -5C/1C

Coldest in BC: Puntzi Mountain, -40C

[Canuck]

I think we should just stick to YVR to keep it simpler

YVR
Monday: -9C/-5C
Tuesday: -11C/-4C
Wednesday: -8C/-3C
Thursday: -5C/-2C

[Esquimalt39]

YVR:

Monday: -7/-3
Tuesday: -12/-6
Wednesday: -9/-4
Thursday: -6/-3

YYJ:

Monday: -6/-1
Tuesday: -11/-5
Wednesday: -8/-5
Thursday: -4/-2

[OilerNut]

YVR
Monday: -5C/0C
Tuesday: -10C/-5C
Wednesday: -8C/-1C
Thursday: -5C/0C

YXX
Monday: -10C/-3C
Tuesday: -15C/-8C
Wednesday: -13C/-4C
Thursday: -10C/-3C

[Glacier]

Coldest in BC: Puntzi Mountain, -42C

Environment Canada is really expecting the cold to be east of the Chilcotin - Bulkley - Nechako area. Burns Lake is forecast to be 10 degrees warmer than Prince George for example, even though it's almost always colder.

For using statistics if you want, here is a list coldest spot winners in BC ONLY when the extreme low is -30 or below:

2018 (sorry, I haven't done 2019 yet):

Fort Nelson = 5 times
Puntzi = 4
Burns Lake = 4
Dawson Creek = 3
Dease Lake = 2
Chetwynd = 2
MacKenzie = 1
Fort St. James = 1
Everyone else = 0

2017:
Dease Lake = 12
Fort Nelson = 4
Yoho National Park = 3
Puntzi = 3
Blue River =3
Dawson Creek = 2
MacKenzie = 1
Clinton =1
Chetwynd = 1
Everyone Else = 0

2016:
Puntzi = 9
Dease Lake = 4
Yoho = 1
Dawson Creek = 1
Chetwynd = 1
Everyone else = 0

2015:
Dease Lake = 5
Fort Nelson = 3
Puntzi =1
Dawson Creek = 1
Everyone else = 0

[Flakey]

YVR
Monday: -13C/-5C
Tuesday: -11C/-6C
Wednesday: -8C/-4C
Thursday: -6C/-3C

YXX
Monday: -15C/-8C
Tuesday: -12C/-10C
Wednesday: -9C/-6C
Thursday: -8C/-4C

YYJ
Monday: -9C/-2C
Tuesday: -8C/-4C
Wednesday: -6C/-2C
Thursday: -4C/0C

[Roberts Creeker]

YVR
Monday: -9C/-2C
Tuesday: -13C/-4C
Wednesday: -9C/-3C
Thursday: -3C/0C

YHS
Monday: -10C/-5C
Tuesday: -14C/-5C
Wednesday: -10C/-2C
Thursday: -5C/0C

Coldest in BC: ? not too worried about needing a tie breaker

[Abby_wx]

I had some numbers in my head, but I might just wait and re-assess the situation in 24 hours. The models trends are too iffy at the moment.

[Glacier]

I'm in a hotel room in Penticton, so haven't had time to check the forecasts... here is a quick stab in the dark...

YVR
Monday: -5C/-1C
Tuesday: -10C/-2C
Wednesday: -8C/-2C
Thursday: -5C/-1C

YXX
Monday: -8C/-3C
Tuesday: -12C/-5C
Wednesday: -10C/-5C
Thursday: -7C/-3C

YYJ
Monday: -3C/1C
Tuesday: -8C/-3C
Wednesday: -6C/-2C
Thursday: -4C/0C

Coldest in BC: Quesnel, -41C

[Bonovox]

YVR
Monday: -6C/-3C
Tuesday: -11C/-4C
Wednesday: -10C/-3C
Thursday: -4C/0C

YXX
Monday: -9C/-6C
Tuesday: -13C/-6C
Wednesday: -12C/-5C
Thursday: -6C/-2C

YYJ
Monday: -4C/-2C
Tuesday: -9C/-2C
Wednesday: -6C/-1C
Thursday: -3C/2C

[Slytyguy]

YVR
Monday: -2C/-1
Tuesday: -10/-4C
Wednesday: -8c/-2c
Thursday: -6C/0

YXX
Monday: -10C/-8C
Tuesday: -14C/-9C
Wednesday: -11/-7C
Thursday: -8C/-2c

YYJ
Monday: -5C/+2c
Tuesday: -9/-3c
Wednesday: -4/-2C
Thursday: -5C/2c

[VanCitySouth]

YVR
M: -8/-4
T: -12/-5
W: -10/-3
R: -6/-2

YXX
M: -6/-6
T: -14/-8
W: -11/-5
R: -9/-4

YYJ:
M: -3/0
T: -10/-1
W: -7/0
R: -5/0

[Forrest Gump]

YVR
Monday: -6C/-2C
Tuesday: -11C/-6C
Wednesday: -8C/-5C
Thursday: -4C/-1C

YXX
Monday: -9C/-3C
Tuesday: -13C/-8C
Wednesday: -10C/-7C
Thursday: -6C/-3C

YYJ
Monday: -5C/-1C
Tuesday: -9C/-4C
Wednesday: -7C/-3C
Thursday: -3C/0C

[Typeing3]

Environment Canada

YVR
Monday: -6C/-2C
Tuesday: -11C/-4C
Wednesday: -8C/-3C
Thursday: -5C/1C

YXX
Monday: -6C/-6C
Tuesday: -12C/-4C
Wednesday: -8C/-1C
Thursday: -6C/-1C

YYJ
Monday: -3C/1C
Tuesday: -6C/-2C
Wednesday: -5C/0C
Thursday: -3C/1C