Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:04 pm
Case in point.
Vancouver in the bullseye.
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4" (10 cm) would be a score in my book. The GFS was also showing 11 or 12 cm for Abby as I recall.
We'll see... But at this point it looks like the hardest hit areas will have trouble getting 10 cm... but whatever fits the narrative you want to tell.
I'm in central Ladner by the village and we have about 3-4 cm on my back deck, hasn't really stopped at all since 6 am. snow is light but wind has picked up a bit so it seems more intense that it probably is.
Storm wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 12:53 pm
People seem to ignore the models. Abby was never really in the score zone. This was always SWWest Metro event.
5 cm. at my house.
Actually most models had around 10-15 cm for Abby.
Abby_wx wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:18 pm
4" (10 cm) would be a score in my book. The GFS was also showing 11 or 12 cm for Abby as I recall.
We'll see... But at this point it looks like the hardest hit areas will have trouble getting 10 cm... but whatever fits the narrative you want to tell.
Don't really have a narrative tbh.
I'm just saying that the harder hit areas are towards the water this time around. Do I think the estimated amounts are overstated, yes, absolutely. Sorry if I wasn't clear. Some were surprised that the eastern sections weren't really seeing much, that it was I was speaking about.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:23 pm
Don't really have a narrative tbh.
I'm just saying that the harder hit areas are towards the water this time around. Do I think the estimated amounts are overstated, yes, absolutely. Sorry if I wasn't clear. Some were surprised that the eastern sections weren't really seeing much, that it was I was speaking about.
Yeah. Most models were showing 15-20cm for Van and 10-15cm for Coquitlam. Unless temps drop a touch and the snow picks up...don't see either happening today.
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:09 pm
Just a raw gross day out there. Snow is getting very wet. Still at 3cm. Cannot believe some METS were calling up to 20cm when most models showed temps holding near +1C with Feb daylight. At least the rain should wash it away quickly overnight.
Crazy potential in long range. shaping up well for 2nd half of the month but some model runs push the ridge a touch far east. Win-win scenario. Either we stay dry.
How is staying dry "crazy potential"? Unless you left out the end of the last sentence.
Hawk wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:07 pm
Selective viewing..this wasnt the only model lets be honest. And even if so, maybe they should start drawing out the 9" in North Van next event based on Bears obs every marginal event...
Exactly! The map shows it hammers us yet here I am at MAYBE 1cm of slush...
PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Feb 04, 2020 1:31 pm
How is staying dry "crazy potential"? Unless you left out the end of the last sentence.
Cold potential. All depends where the offshore ridge sets up but with massive -EPO blocks...the northern PNW seldom receives large snowfalls and is usually dry as the action is focused to our south.
∞ to 0.5 
GFS
