November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

[Monty]

Unpopular opinion here but windstorms can suck one. Hope that doesn't happen.

Wouldn’t be your typical big windstorm but breezy for sure. Low end warnings perhaps.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

It either will or it will be a major bust. Every winter is hyped but man, the hype with this one is through the sky.

All Catnip’s tagline claims is that this winter will be “a good one.” Not “best ever,” not “best in decades,” not even “best in a decade.” Just “a good one.” Given how much fun Catnip had during last January’s cold wave, that can safely be taken to be a prediction that it will be a colder and snowier than normal winter in the lowlands. Not so hype-y, particularly given how La Niña in general biases things to the cooler* side. A non-trivial fraction of La Niña winters do end up being snowier than normal in the lowlands.

* Though not necessarily snowier in the lowlands, hence my prediction last month of snowfall being about average in the lowlands.

P.S. As for the American forum, yes. This winter is being hyped through the sky over there.

[arbetrader]

If we are talking about either January 1950 or December 1996, I don't think there is anyone here that would suggest a bad winter regardless as to which one verifies.

Nah, all we need is this: November 1985 plus December 1996, plus January 1950, plus Feb 1954, and to top it off - March can be 25 degrees and sunny because I"d be ready for spring!! Bring it on!! Wait a sec... I live in BC. Nevermind :'(

[tyweather]

+13c in Fort St. John currently. -12c in Fort Nelson! 25c difference in a 4 hour drive.

[AbbyJr]

Nah, all we need is this: November 1985 plus December 1996, plus January 1950, plus Feb 1954, and to top it off - March can be 25 degrees and sunny because I"d be ready for spring!! Bring it on!! Wait a sec... I live in BC. Nevermind :'(

November 2006, December 1996, January 1954, February 1989, and March 1951.

[Bonovox]

Unpopular opinion here but windstorms can suck one. Hope that doesn't happen.

I'm not a fan of the widespread damage they can cause and could do without, but I do find them absolutely fascinating to track from a meteorological perspective.

[AbbyJr]

Euro ensembles showing strong wind gusts Wednesday night for Abbotsford.

Screen Shot 2020-11-02 at 3.18.05 PM.png

[Typeing3]

Long range continues to look cool and wet. Fairly flat but broad north pacific ridge leads to persistent NW flow here. Pretty typical La Nina pattern.

[AbbyJr]

Rainfall warnings issued.

[Typeing3]

Fairly run-of-the-mill November rainfall. Two day total likely 60-90mm close to the mountains when all is set and done.

[AbbyJr]

Fairly run-of-the-mill November rainfall. Two day total likely 60-90mm close to the mountains when all is set and done.

Environment Canada says 40-50 mm Tuesday and then another 10-20 mm Tuesday night for Abbotsford. Thats 50-70 mm 24 hour totals. Thats a bit more unusual for Abbotsford, which is usually under a bit of a rain shadow. But run of the mill in comparison to other major rain events.

[Forrest Gump]

Still getting some nice double digit temps last few days , 12-14° , 13.1° today.

[Weather101]

Frosty here this morning, but the automated weather station on the American Sumas Mountain (completely different peak from the one by the same name on the Canadian side of the border, elevation about 1000 m), is reporting 10°C. Should be another mild afternoon once the inversion dissipates.

I ended up hitting 13.3c

[wetcoast91]

Nice day today.

Warm rain the next 3 days

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Nice day today.

Warm rain the next 3 days

Savor it while you can, Nito!