November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 9:42 pm 00Z GEM has a 97mb low crossing Central Vancouver Island in the clown range. :clap: :lol: That would do major wind damage if it verified.
I’m hoping you forgot a zero or we are in big trouble.
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Monty
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I love the look of the models right now. Cool and active with a reoccurring N Pacific ridge. I think the odds of an early season cold wave is quite high this year.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:17 pm I love the look of the models right now. Cool and active with a reoccurring N Pacific ridge. I think the odds of an early season cold wave is quite high this year.
Cool and active NW flow dominating through late December is fine by me.

Hopefully we see the NPAC ridge amplify at some point.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Just dipped below freezing.
:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

:think: can't complain
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

EC added a chance of snow for Monday
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

H
442C0AC8-D8E8-4727-B4F9-2D489C98AEDB.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Models seem to suggest precip intensity being key in any accumulation. It will be below freezing at 400m at onset of precip. Wet snow above 150m seems like a good call but accumulation is dependent on intensity of precip.

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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by arbetrader »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:17 pm I love the look of the models right now. Cool and active with a reoccurring N Pacific ridge. I think the odds of an early season cold wave is quite high this year.

Yup, and worst case scenario the ski areas will really capitalize off this.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:16 pm I’m hoping you forgot a zero or we are in big trouble.
Forgot a zero where?
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:40 am Forgot a zero where?
You said 97mb low. I’m assuming you meant 970mb
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bear Golden »

Kinda quiet around here considering a snow event in a few days....WHERE'S THE PANIC :lol:
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:12 am You said 97mb low. I’m assuming you meant 970mb
Do we have an atmospheric physicist here to tell us how doomed we would be if a low deepened to 97 mb?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bear Golden wrote: ↑Sat Nov 07, 2020 9:39 am Kinda quiet around here considering a snow event in a few days....WHERE'S THE PANIC :lol:
I don't know about everyone else but I've mentally written this one off already lol
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Frozen rain anyone?
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