November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Mattman wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 6:47 pm Weak deformation band in Mission is afternoon. Had to wait for it to move on before taking the kiddos out on their bikes. It sure cooled off after it moved through. As we were returning home from the ride there were a few wet flakes here at 70m elevation.
Convection triggered by a departing low. I suspected something was brewing but we ran out of daylight and the airmass had dried considerably.

There appears to be a few convective cells down in Puget Sound. Thunderstorms and rainfall rates at 1" an hour about an hour ago near Port Townshead.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:snowman: Next Monday (day 9) on the 00z GFS:
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Crazy to see this happening in November. This may be a very unusual period comimg up.

To think that all long range models depicted ridging and drier than normal conditions 10 days ago.

Very persistent trends now and we are seeing this development occur in real time. That jet really ramps up end of the week. The clash of cold air over the Pacific and a moisture fetch from the tropics lead me to think potential storms are definitely looming. Cold air lingers within close proximity meaning these systems could pack a snowy punch at times.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Weather101 wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 5:31 pm where was my invite.
Sorry. :(

The snow tapered off as we came into Merritt but then it picked up again as we neared the Coquihalla Summit. Stopped snowing as we came down the hill and the skies started to clear near Hope. Home safe now with our new puppy. :thumbup: :D
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 9:56 pm Sorry. :(

The snow tapered off as we came into Merritt but then it picked up again as we neared the Coquihalla Summit. Stopped snowing as we came down the hill and the skies started to clear near Hope. Home safe now with our new puppy. :thumbup: :D
Congratulations! Puppy pics?

SWS for the Sunshine Coast! And it's 0.0 C right now...brrrrr
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:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 10:00 pm Congratulations! Puppy pics?

SWS for the Sunshine Coast! And it's 0.0 C right now...brrrrr
Thanks. I will get some and post them tomorrow :D
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

GEM continues to advertise a major windstorm Friday next week. Thats one deep low crossing around or just south of Central Vancouver Island. Would do significant damage if that solution verified. :shock: :o :shock:
gem-all-wcan-mslp-1604793600-1605258000-1605301200-40.gif
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

E2971215-A9E7-4346-9159-6143973E09D0.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

Sorry everyone...I've been gone for a bit. But I'm back and we are on SNOW WATCH!!! 😀😀😀
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

High res 6z NAM shows a burst of snow across the lower mainland late Monday evening.
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

:think:
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 10:00 pm Congratulations! Puppy pics?
seconded! :clap:
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Got down to -2.4
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Image

Pretty serious windstorm on the table with a sub 975 mb low tracking through the South Coast. The 0z GEM had that low following the same route.

We could see 100km/hr southerlies if that trends a little more North.

Oh holy Sh*t! 958mb? :o
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Re: November 2020 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

WRF looks snowy! ⛄️
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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