January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Lisa0527
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Sorry I’ve forgotten how to attach images, :? but the AF has posted the WeatherBell 12k and 3k maps, and not looking bad for Vancouver.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bc_trucker »

I don't have any real expertise...but I'm just feeling this is gonna hit some people like a freight train....

On another note....what a gorgeous day today, feels like spring!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NoahG »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 12:48 pm 3k 18z Nam

Keep in mind, it only goes out to HR60.

FA29DEF1-D39C-4E63-852C-C1E2B7F7DD25.png

Yeah!! 3 inches here!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

18Z GFS still looks like rain for me. This close to a possible snow event are the mesoscale models considered more reliable? Or is it better to stick with the big 3?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z RGEM
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z GFS is pretty similar to the 12z.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Lisa0527 wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 1:53 pm 18Z GFS still looks like rain for me. This close to a possible snow event are the mesoscale models considered more reliable? Or is it better to stick with the big 3?
Here's the GFS
gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-1586800.thumb.png.a6072789bed8cb59b0be03f78dc642ec.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

18z GFS is closer with the Tuesday night system, but not close enough.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 2:03 pm 18z GFS is closer with the Tuesday night system, but not close enough.
Still a few days for it to keep inching closer.

:dunno:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 2:04 pm Still a few days for it to keep inching closer.

:dunno:
Wouldn't take much for it to turn into something decent for us.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Legitimately cold air making its way into Northern BC in the mid range.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Was this posted yet? :think:
I may have missed it?

Alerts for: Fraser Valley
Statements
10:31 AM PST Friday 22 January 2021
Special weather statement in effect for:

Fraser Valley - central including Chilliwack
Fraser Valley - east including Hope
Fraser Valley - west including Abbotsford
Periods of snow are expected Saturday night through Monday morning, with the potential for significant snowfall Sunday night.

The first round of snow is expected to be fairly light. Snow will begin Saturday night with a few cm accumulating by Sunday morning. The snow will be wet and may become mixed with rain Sunday afternoon as temperatures rise above freezing.

A more significant round of snow is possible beginning late Sunday afternoon. Current guidance suggests snowfall amounts near 10 cm Sunday night.

However, with temperatures hovering near freezing the snow will be wet and slushy. If it is slightly warmer than expected, snow is likely to change over to rain.

While there is still some uncertainty in the forecast, wet and slushy snow may make for a messy commute Monday morning. Power outages are also possible if heavy, wet snow accumulates on trees.

Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to BCstorm@canada.ca or tweet reports using #BCStorm.
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

What does the :hawk: cast say?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

That block just keeps going and keeps the warm Pacific air out.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Much colder throughout the West on this run.
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