January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Hawk]

Nito are we getting any flurries tonight in the valley?

[AbbyJr]

Abby Jr for policeman!!

[VanCitySouth]

Has the gfs sobered up or has it gotten into the tequila again? Stay tuned folks

Tequila. Definitely tequila. Did NOBODY see the 7-barreled low?

[SunnyinLadner]

Hi everyone.

I must apologize for my epic failure in forecasting the last event. I know I had many of you excited for what should have been a great widespread snowfall. So many things went wrong but I think you all know. The temp was just 2c higher than it should have been. The low was a bit too far west and south. Precipitation rates were light. Etc. Everything was so close yet so far away, again.

I'm disappointed in how poorly the models perform in general for the lower mainland. This makes things even more difficult. Poor radar coverage and numerous other things contribute to the overall failure of almost all of the forecasts. The government needs to fund EC better because this is a serious situation. There was better information available prior to the 1990's and that is sad considering the information age we now live in.

Also, thank you to all my supporters, or the people with the kind words to say about me. I am not perfect. Someone had sent a rude message via the private message system on this forum. I won't say who it was. I deleted it.

As of now I will not make any detailed forecasts unless it's an absolute guarantee it will happen. The lower mainland is just too difficult to forecast and since I don't live there I can't keep track of everything that is happening in real time. I also don't have enough time. It was different when I lived there.

As for now, this week looks rather 50/50 of anything good happening. The atmosphere is unstable so short bursts of flurries or hail may pass through at times. Mid week looks a bit better in terms of light flurries being a little more widespread. As we approach the weekend, THAT becomes the big question. We have a strong system moving in with cold air around which COULD lead to a major widespread snowfall event. Watch for that. That is the next exciting thing weather-wise to look out for. I think you guys have many more chances through Feb, it's looking pretty chilly.

I'll drop by later in the week if things look promising.

WP you don’t need to apologize. The person that sent you a rude message is the person who should be apologizing. I enjoy your forecasts and agree with others that it wouldn’t be the same without them You’re still d best! Don’t let the weather troll get you down
Looking forward to hearing from you later in the week.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The hills just south of Bellingham were plastered with snow above about the 300m level this afternoon.

If we don’t get any more at sea level, it will be time to take a hike in them.

But I actually think there’s a decent chance of getting more at sea level. There’s supposed to be some weak Fraser outflow in the next few days. Nothing dramatic, but the lower dew points should help. The question is getting the moisture to work with it.

[Lisa0527]

Another heavy band of hail/graupel hitting the west side. But nothing on radar

* aaaaannnd...back to rain

[Hound]

[AbbyJr]

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-2980000.png

[Catnip]

Hound, I think we need a clown smilie for Mr. Rubus to put in his sig.

[Storm]

Screenshot_20210125-210838_Gallery.jpg

Another heavy band of hail/graupel hitting the west side. But nothing on radar

* aaaaannnd...back to rain

[Bonovox]

Just think how fun today would have been if we were a couple of degrees cooler.

[Hawk]

Another heavy band of hail/graupel hitting the west side. But nothing on radar

* aaaaannnd...back to rain

looked like a baby shower cell headed through there..cant see where you're at exactly but it was heading towards DT

[Catnip]

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-2980000.png

Nope, not falling for these again. 2 days out or 15

[Catnip]

Just think how fun today would have been if we were a couple of degrees cooler.

[Hawk]

Screenshot_20210125-210838_Gallery.jpg

lmao