January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 8:13 am Yup… Yesterday the 9th was the big day. Six days ago it was the 4th. Let me know when it stops moving into the future and I will consider taking it seriously.
Beginning of feb. Wait maybe the middle or even late Feb. Or is it next Feb, or the one after that.
#sometimeinsomefeb
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

But Nito said so. He hasn't missed all year. Watch this time he will finally be wrong lol and we get nothing. Jr said the signs are all there now. Add in low solar and Lanina..and this winter is a lock for cold and snow. It's coming soon..stay tuned :roll:
System for tonight looks #dry in LM
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

This run doesn’t look very promising.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 8:13 am Yup… Yesterday the 9th was the big day. Six days ago it was the 4th. Let me know when it stops moving into the future and I will consider taking it seriously.
:13c: :13cb: :13cc: :13cd:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 8:42 am Beginning of feb. Wait maybe the middle or even late Feb. Or is it next Feb, or the one after that.
#sometimeinsomefeb
Who knows Mr. Kells.

Not too much longer to go for this to be a big Winter :fail:

Or maybe it will have been just another normal winter around these parts.

Hopefully we can still pull something off next month.

:shrug:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 8:47 am But Nito said so. He hasn't missed all year. Watch this time he will finally be wrong lol and we get nothing. Jr said the signs are all there now. Add in low solar and Lanina..and this winter is a lock for cold and snow. It's coming soon..stay tuned :roll:
System for tonight looks #dry in LM
La Ninas are over-rated imo.

:shrug:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 8:51 am La Ninas are over-rated imo.

:shrug:
Yeah, give me an ENSO neutral winter any day.

:dunno:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I don't know why I am doing this again, but here goes.

12z GFS shows light snow moving into the area tonight and lasting into tomorrow morning.

Yeah, I know, I'll believe it when I see it.


:wish:
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Last edited by Bonovox on Tue Jan 26, 2021 9:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 9:10 am I don't know why I am doing this again, but here goes.

12z GFS shows light snow moving into the are tonight and lasting into tomorrow morning.

Yeah, I know, I'll believe it when I see it.


:wish:
Adds up to a couple of inches across the region. :roll:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Models really dried us out in the short range with the trough axis further offshore. A sciff of snow tomorrow. Moderating temps by the weekend when systems arrive bringing +7C rain.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 9:13 am Models really dried us out in the short range with the trough axis further offshore. A sciff of snow tomorrow. Moderating temps by the weekend when systems arrive bringing +7C rain.
Naturally.

#climo
#isitspringyet?

:thumbup:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Is this our one week of Arctic air? H+4 L-2.
Is this as cold as we get this year? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hound wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 6:29 am And just like that.. EC removed the snow chances in this mornings first forecast compared to last nights forecast. Typical! :x

2021-01-26_062358.jpg

This was last night:

2021-01-25_194652.jpg
I've been watching EC forecasts also and have been amazed at how rapidly and radically they change the forecast in 12 hours. It's disappointing when they take away a week of snow but not so much when their week of rain disappears.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 8:51 am La Ninas are over-rated imo.

:shrug:
I'm beginning to believe that too. I went into this winter thinking epic cold, snow and a real winter and with 2 days of brief snow showers, a handful of zero or below zero nights, I'm disappointed. :(
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Looks like the 12z dumps all cold air east of the rockies :(
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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