January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 10:47 am Give me a warm pleasant spring and I’ll take my chances with smoke in the summer.
Yeah, no cold rain garbage after March please. April thru October should be mostly warm and dry after suffering through nonstop rain for most of the fall/winter/spring.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Last day with a sunset before 5PM. C'mon! Think light until 9PM AND SUNSHINE!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 10:57 am That depends, have you had any offers on your soul yet?

:think:
Not for sale if the payment is only a couple cm of slush :x
Terms clearly state snowpocalypse or snowmageddon
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weatherhead »

Monty wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 11:14 am Wind is really ramping up in Greater Victoria and should reach borderline warning criteria. No warnings yet though.

2.3C here, with a rare E wind even filtering into the shawnigan Lake area now.

I did receive a small accumulation of wet snow overnight. :ohyay:
Already have a few power outages in langford.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 12:04 pm Not for sale if the payment is only a couple cm of slush :x
Terms clearly state snowpocalypse or snowmageddon
No snowfall warning or special weather statement issued. Expect 10-15cm by the morning followed by a Snowfall Warning by noon when it clears out and reaches +8C.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 11:43 am Very possible but the good news is that we are still 2 weeks out. Still plenty of time for the models to shift colder for the PNW.

I should add that the GFS did not slowly trend towards a West Coast Ridge. The past two runs were actually a complete flip from the runs prior to that, which showed arctic air. Looks to me like a sudden collapse, not a slow trend.

I still think this will work out in our favour despite the sudden GFS collapse. But I may have to refine my forecast if trends keep going in this direction.

Think arctic air and snow C'MON!!! :chilly: :snowman:
Good for you for staying positive. The EPS got cooler in that timeframe. Needs to trend a lot colder though to get arctic. Personally...I dunno. It’s just maybe not our year. But if we get a mid February blast, bring it. Anything else like northwest flow can shove it. Bring on the sunshine.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 11:16 am Are you going to pull an all nighter so you don't miss out?

:tiredos: :tiredos: :tiredos:
With the porch light on and counting all the flakes I can find in the rain
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Monty wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 10:47 am Give me a warm pleasant spring and I’ll take my chances with smoke in the summer.
Speak for yourself. I will gladly pay for a smoke-free summer with a few June days with highs around 12ËšC.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

+8C.
THINK SPRING!!! CMON!!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

I love what this forum has become :lol:
All about them Cowboys !!! 🤠 🤠
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 11:21 am WHYCANTITSNOWHEREANYMORE.png
Gray for just about everyone!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Wintergirl wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 11:50 am Sun is peaking through with some blue sky but still some flurries happeneing and now a bit of outflow winds. Snow we got last night is still on trees slowly melting now but not as quickly as it did the other day. Why is is that Squamish stays colder than Vancouver? Legit question I honestly dont know why? :crazy:
My working theory has always* been that it’s all about the outflow.

* Well, ever since looking at a map and thinking “Hmmm, I bet Squamish gets significantly more snow than Vancouver, because that topography sure looks favorable for outflow from the interior.” (Then I checked the climate stats and discover my suspicion was correct.)
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I continue to torture myself. The 18z 3km NAM ups the snow amounts a little.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 12:35 pm +8C.
THINK SPRING!!! CMON!!
Ok.

:think: :think: :think:
:wish: :wish: :wish:

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Tue Jan 26, 2021 12:43 pm I continue to torture myself. The 18z 3km NAM ups the snow amounts a little.
Oh joy. 1cm for northern sections. :lol:
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