January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hey Nito

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

That blast is going east :roll: its over folks.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Sure is a slow moving.

https://atmos.uw.edu/current-weather/northwest-radar/
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:06 pm That blast is going east :roll: its over folks.
East Coast and West Coast roast.

Sacramento and Vegas could see snow.
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tyweather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Anyone members in this club?

https://cloudappreciationsociety.org/

We love clouds. Read our manifesto and see how we are fighting the banality of ‘blue-sky thinking’. If you agree with what we stand for, then join the society to get your very own membership certificate, badge, Cloud Selector and to start receiving your ‘Cloud a Day’.

Image

They added a new cloud name into the names of clouds.
Last edited by tyweather on Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:36 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:09 pm East Coast and West Coast roast.

Sacramento and Vegas could see snow.
Vegas just got snow yesterday I believe.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:17 pm Vegas just got snow yesterday I believe.
:bang:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:06 pm That blast is going east :roll: its over folks.
Typical. An arctic blast in North America always starts by being modelled for the PNW and then trends east. :x

How does it go east even in a -ENSO/+QBO/SSW/Phase 7 MJO.

Thankfully there's still time for it to trend west again but if this busts, then I will be losing hope that winter here can deliver even with all the ingredients in place.
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moonshadow0825
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:17 pm Vegas just got snow yesterday I believe.
So did Phoenix yesterday :wtf:
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 3:06 pm That blast is going east :roll: its over folks.
Remember the last one in the models went too far west. I think Climo might have something to say about an east blast.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Mild Fraser outflow conditions: Temp +4ËšC, DP -3ËšC. Actually favorable for snow. Which means one of the models showing Bellingham not under even so much as light gray will doubtless verify.
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 4:24 pm Mild Fraser outflow conditions: Temp +4ËšC, DP -3ËšC. Actually favorable for snow. Which means one of the models showing Bellingham not under even so much as light gray will doubtless verify.
:notfeelingit:
The grey on the WB maps usually is another kiss of death for snow around here. We either get nothing or (under rare circumstances) it overperforms.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 26, 2021 4:41 pm The grey on the WB maps usually is another kiss of death for snow around here. We either get nothing or (under rare circumstances) it overperforms.
Yup. Light gray = flakes in the air, at best.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

23z HRRR and 18z HRDPS both show cold rain tonight for most of the mainland.
hrrr_ref_frzn_nwus_10 (1).png
hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_15.png
18z NAM looks more promising for a trace of snow though.
nam3km_ref_frzn_nwus_16.png
18z GFS looks decent too.
gfs_ref_frzn_nwus_2.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

FWIW Salem, OR is getting a nice little snowfall today.
Edgewater and Wallace_pid2462.JPG
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It's called clown range for a reason.
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