January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

John wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 1:43 pm C’mon hawk anyone can take a chance 4 days out be bold go 8 days it’s not 16 at least
ok
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Block gets undercut before most of that arctic air pushes too far south but definitely a step in the right direction. Ensembles will be interesting :think:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 2:42 pm I'd be very happy with that.
Yeah, I'd be happy with that too because we really do need a long dry spell. But something like that is far from a "legit" arctic outbreak like some have been hyping today.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

LadnerWeather wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 3:09 pm Block gets undercut before most of that arctic air pushes too far south but definitely a step in the right direction. Ensembles will be interesting :think:
Don't like it. No more rain!

I am cancelling winter for the 23rd time this winter.
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PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Thats too bad but I guess its a step towards goodness.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

468 thickness in northern bc at day 12/13.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

John wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 12:35 pm This has a much better chance of success than the last time everyone was all in. I got a lot of flak for being out last time
Good thing you wore your flak jacket.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 3:10 pm Yeah, I'd be happy with that too because we really do need a long dry spell. But something like that is far from a "legit" arctic outbreak like some have been hyping today.
To be fair, the EPS looks pretty epic so I think thats where a lot of the hype is coming from today. Whether it verifies or not is the question.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I STILL BELIEVE. February delivered at least one snow event for the following years:
2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

:crazy:

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 8954686467
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

^I've highlighted this many times. It's pretty pathetic seeing the decline of January in recent times.

Another graph showing the decline of cold (< -5c, < -10c at YVR) during January would be pretty cool too.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 5:06 pm :crazy:

Brutal!

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Just updated this one to include 2020.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

What about February's? They have to be better!! :wtf:
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Hound wrote: ↑Thu Jan 28, 2021 5:30 pm What about February's? They have to be better!! :wtf:
The last few Februaries have definitely slowed the decline in snowfall during the month.

It's the only winter month where average snowfall didn't continue decreasing on the new climate normals.
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