January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Lisa0527 · Post by **Lisa0527** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:34 pm

18z looks colder...but dry

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:45 pm

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:29 pm Throw it out.

Head east!

gfs_T850_ncus_31.png

gfs_T850a_neus_36.png

Lisa0527 · Post by **Lisa0527** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:14 pm

Finally gets there at hour 384

PortKells · Post by **PortKells** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:14 pm

Lisa0527 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 3:14 pm Finally gets there at hour 384

Ensembles aint terrible either.

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:31 pm

Hound wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 1:54 pm This you Hawk?
https://twitter.com/jayakerley/status/1 ... 2214841348

Hound? Well if you used your keen sense of smell, you would see those are probably deer tracks on the rivers edge, not Hawk Claws

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:34 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 2:45 pm Head east!

gfs_T850_ncus_31.png
gfs_T850a_neus_36.png

Most times i see the Big H in Alberta or east, the cold heads East. Sorry buttees..is it over again? Or pushed back to 19+ days away.
Quit torturing yourselves! (Insert appropriate GIF here hahaha)

Annnnnnnnnnnnnddddd....

Tell em Nito!!!!!!

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:09 pm

The GFS is clueless right now. Every run is significantly different.

I'd ignore it for now.

Post by **HarrisonSasquatchWx** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:35 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:09 pm The GFS is clueless right now. Every run is significantly different.

I'd ignore it for now.

Yes but it's great for entertainment purposes. Will the real model please stand up. :13ce:

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:44 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:35 pm Yes but it's great for entertainment purposes. Will the real model please stand up.

Yes and it runs a lot per day, so we get to analyze it the most.

Post by **HarrisonSasquatchWx** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:47 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:44 pm Yes and it runs a lot per day, so we get to analyze it the most.

True but it's really Goofy this winter for some reason. I guess we'll find out in 384 hours.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 6:26 pm

Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 4:34 pm Most times i see the Big H in Alberta or east, the cold heads East. Sorry buttees..is it over again? Or pushed back to 19+ days away.
Quit torturing yourselves! (Insert appropriate GIF here hahaha)

Annnnnnnnnnnnnddddd....

Tell em Nito!!!!!!

It usually comes across that you are torturing yourself by following the models.

Monty · Post by **Monty** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 6:27 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 5:44 pm Yes and it runs a lot per day, so we get to analyze it the most.

ThatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s actually a big part of it. It would probably seem a little less chaotic if we only analyzed the 0z and 12z runs.

Post by **HarrisonSasquatchWx** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 7:27 pm

2-1 John Hogie scores!

Radar · Post by **Radar** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 7:54 pm

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 6:26 pm It usually comes across that you are torturing yourself by following the models.

I wouldn't count on any big cold snaps. This is a La Nina year and it hasn't produced as the temps are 1 degree too high. Otherwise there would be much more snow this year. I don't see why this would change, there hasn't been enough dynamics in the weather changes. A stay at home Covid winter type pattern following the norm of nothing exciting happening. Besides, I told you I fixed my plow, that means it won't happen. At least I didn't go buy a pallet of salt.

Forrest Gump · Post by **Forrest Gump** » Sat Jan 30, 2021 7:57 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Sat Jan 30, 2021 7:27 pm 3-2 John Hogie scores!

Is that the 2nd or 3rd period map that you're looking at?

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