January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

The GFS: more waffles than in all of Belgium.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Euro time. :shock:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:13 pm Euro time. :shock:
Better at day 4
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

And we have a ridge merge before day 5.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Cut off lows looks to ruin this run so far. We'll see.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Gfs, gem and euro all look very similar thru day 6. Cool but not cold day 3-6. Prairies get blasted with cold air
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:30 pm Cut off lows looks to ruin this run so far. We'll see.
Gosh, I don't remember the last time I've ever seen the models struggle so bad. Flip a coin and we'll see what will happen. :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:36 pm Gfs, gem and euro all look very similar thru day 6. Cool but not cold day 3-6. Prairies get blasted with cold air
Yeah. Alberta and Saskatchewan brrrrr.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:36 pm Gosh, I don't remember the last time I've ever seen the models struggle so bad. Flip a coin and we'll see what will happen. :lol:
Maybe they are all wrong but they all look pretty similarly thru day 7 tonight. Very good model agreement
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Time to stick a fork in this winter. :blowtor: :blowtor:

We were bound to have a milder Feb.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 10:53 pm Time to stick a fork in this winter. :blowtor: :blowtor:

We were bound to have a milder Feb.
Says the guy who was predicting a colder Feb!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hound wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:12 pm Says the guy who was predicting a colder Feb!
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We are going to have a colder Feb...


With inversions.


:twisted:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:15 pm We are going to have a colder Feb...


With inversions.


:twisted:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 30, 2021 11:15 pm We are going to have a colder Feb...


With inversions.


:twisted:
Last night you said. “ The good news is we get out of inversion season by mid Feb. So a ridge slightly offshore could give us wall to wall sunshine!”.

Is inversion season ending or not?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

00Z EPS not as good as the 12Z but far from caving.
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