February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 5:04 pm :shrug:

126D6E88-7C87-400A-B047-90603AEBB414.jpeg
Looks like climo/zonal but thats just the average of all these amplified patterns. Apparently the 18Z EPS was good. This winter is as good an example as any that model riding is completely futile.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Like...what???
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t850_anom_stream-2807200.png
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 4:53 pm Just saw the ensembles. I think its a bust. Sorry jr. Nothing we can do but move to a higher elevation or a wintry climate.
Yup. It's going to take an unlikely miracle to save winter in February.

We will probably have to wait for our March 1951 repeat. :lol: :clap:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 6:24 pm Yup. It's going to take an unlikely miracle to save winter in February.

We will probably have to wait for our March 1951 repeat. :lol: :clap:
Haha. I love that you talk about that every winter. I mean I would take it but at this point. But we can't even get slush in January right now.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Catnip wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 11:21 am I'm surprised he keeps showing these. He is usually pretty conservative, imo.

13 days from now... C'MON Mark!
So am I he usually waits till it's within 5 day's.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 6:40 pm Haha. I love that you talk about that every winter. I mean I would take it but at this point. But we can't even get slush in January right now.
To be honest, I was joking. There is probably a one in a billion chance of a March 1951 repeat. :lol: :bang:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Hang onto your shorts it's almost 00Z Grinch showtime. :shifty
Update: not a good run so far. :cry:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 7:20 pm To be honest, I was joking. There is probably a one in a billion chance of a March 1951 repeat. :lol: :bang:
I know. Its fun to think about. And most people here like winter to be over by March but I'll take a good event in there, just not a dry outflow event like last March, that sucked IMO.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

The professional meteorologists aren't giving up on our winter yet.

https://twitter.com/KGordonGlobalBC/sta ... 79297?s=19
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 6:40 pm Haha. I love that you talk about that every winter. I mean I would take it but at this point. But we can't even get slush in January right now.
Yup...give up already. I've had 3 events on HawksHill(330ft) that i can recall, with 2 of them minor slush festivals measured in mm. We may fluke out another slush festival, but bring on some warm sun!! Enough of this full on Covid-19 winter! Fn joooooooooke! :bs: :bs:

Although there were some light flurries today in the Similkameens...nice to watch..reminded me of winter :shh:
:wave: :wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

AbbyJr wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:06 pm The professional meteorologists aren't giving up on our winter yet.

https://twitter.com/KGordonGlobalBC/sta ... 79297?s=19
But we are Jr. :cry:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#teamsnow is gonna ride till the wheels fall off!

C'MON!!!!

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Tue Feb 02, 2021 8:53 pm #teamsnow is gonna ride till the wheels fall off!

C'MON!!!!

Image
But Team 10ËšC Rain will win the day.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hmmmm. C’mon
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North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Gfs, gem, and euro all have that funky back door cold shot around day 10.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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