February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[PortKells]

Much colder run from the beginning

No snow though. Dry cold. I'll take it.

[Monty]

Alaskan vortex is back by the end of next week, similar to last nights euro.

[Monty]

Wow that run gets ugly really fast by about day 7.

[LadnerWeather]

Wow that run gets ugly really fast by about day 7.

Ya it’s too bad cause the short term trends were pretty good..12z ensemble mean is pretty close to -10 850’s next monday/tuesday

[wetcoast91]

Wow that run gets ugly really fast by about day 7.

Oh yeah...Just looks to be another wet month. Potentially warmer.

[Catnip]

Ya it’s too bad cause the short term trends were pretty good..12z ensemble mean is pretty close to -10 850’s next monday/tuesday

Yeah, wow, quite the improvement in the short term.

I would think it is too early to put much stock in the longer range solutions, both cold and wet.

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(1).jpeg

[VanCitySouth]

Just a complete lack of arctic air this year anywhere except up north. A sign of winters to come?
Nito thinks so..I wouldn't say San Diego..but maybe more like Portland winters will be the norm?

Even arctic arctic air isn't all that arctic anymore.

Wow. Has the word arctic lost all meaning yet? If not from repetition, then from the lack of cold.

[AbbyJr]

Alaskan vortex is back by the end of next week, similar to last nights euro.

Given how unreliable the long range modelling has been this winter, I would think it best to look for short term improvements and not worry about the long range at this point.

[Catnip]

Even arctic arctic air isn't all that arctic anymore.

Wow. Has the word arctic lost all meaning yet? If not from repetition, then from the lack of cold.

It has been replaced by the word "farctic"

[Monty]

Yeah, wow, quite the improvement in the short term.

I would think it is too early to put much stock in the longer range solutions, both cold and wet.

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(1).jpeg

Wow. That’s a crazy improvement. ICON leading the way.

[Hawk]

Given how unreliable the long range modelling has been this winter, I would think it best to look for short term improvements and not worry about the long range at this point.

Yup

[Monty]

Given how unreliable the long range modelling has been this winter, I would think it best to look for short term improvements and not worry about the long range at this point.

Yep. I’m not worried about it. Just reporting.

It’s gonna get cold early next week. Probably some snow.

[Monty]

My top secret Euro predictor is expecting a shift to much colder on the 12z euro

[PortKells]

My top secret Euro predictor is expecting a shift to much colder on the 12z euro

Its probably a good bet.

I've never seen flip flopping like this. Its just nuts. Totally numb to any change in the models as it can all just evaporate in a run.

[AbbyJr]

Still time left to redeem this winter. The February 2018 arctic blast began on the 18th. It's on the 3rd right now and long range predictability has been awful as of recent. My guess is we see some cold and white surprises this month that pop up in the short term models at the last minute.