February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

GFS continues to trend colder... even in the mid-long range. :shock: :o :shock:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Wed Feb 03, 2021 2:21 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Who would have thought the ICON would lead the way? Remind me to send a thanks to the Germans.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Below freezing all day next Wednesday.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

If this thing keeps inching west, look for this low on Saturday developing off the north coast to slide down the coast on future runs.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_11.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_12.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 2:24 pm If this thing keeps inching west, look for this low on Saturday developing off the north coast to slide down the coast on future runs.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_11.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_namer_12.png
Chris Doyle referenced the same feature this morning. :shock:


https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 87170?s=21
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 2:18 pm :o

-15c 850mb temps at YVR is really starting to get into the significant range.
That is slightly nuts. I'm betting it moderates. But still looking good.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

18z GFS shows temps below freezing at YVR from Sunday evening all the way through till Thursday afternoon.

Lowest temps across the region look to be on Tuesday morning...-7c at YVR, -10c in Coquitlam/Surrey and -13c at YXX.
Capture.PNG
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

Finally some excitement. The sunshine today instead of the grey rain , was wonderful.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 2:29 pm 18z GFS shows temps below freezing at YVR from Sunday evening all the way through till Thursday afternoon.

Lowest temps across the region look to be on Tuesday morning...-7c at YVR, -10c in Coquitlam/Surrey and -13c at YXX.
Capture.PNG
Almost legit?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Still early but the ensembles look good so far :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

John wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 2:31 pmAlmost legit?
-10c at YVR is the lucky number.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pumpkin Seed »

BhamMe wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 12:51 pm How much for a ticket to get on the #teamsnow bus? Asking for a friend.
You can have mine, free. I am done with the ride.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Early look:

:shock:
4A88FC38-41ED-4EDE-9886-8F1B7D8F66B7.jpeg
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Wed Feb 03, 2021 2:35 pm Early look:

:shock:

4A88FC38-41ED-4EDE-9886-8F1B7D8F66B7.jpeg
:silent:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by BhamMe »

Question for the experienced crowd. Seeing the data, at what point do you feel comfortable in saying "this is going to happen or we're going to see a strong shift in the weather pattern toward cold?" To my eyes, I'm seeing much stronger modeling that says "Let's Get It On!"

Thoughts?
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