February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Part of me wishes it was the 00z showing these improvements.

[Monty]

Thicknesses notably lower early next week

[Bonovox]

Day 5.

[Bonovox]

Cold.

[Catnip]

Monday pm

12z

3D2219A0-3C3F-463B-ABCB-6533CF97BFCE.jpeg

18z

2F6694CA-F9EF-445D-AEBF-9406DAC3D4FD.jpeg

[AbbyJr]

Maybe the GFS will lead the way like it did with the January 2020 arctic blast?

C'MON!!!

[Monty]

Part of me wishes it was the 00z showing these improvements.

I didn’t used to believe in the 6Z/18z inaccuracies but there is a notable disconnect with the 0/12z when you scroll through the model runs this winter. Not massive but noticeable

[Catnip]

^^^^^^^^^^

Typer approved -12 threshold.

[Bonovox]

^^^^^^^^^^

Typer approved -12 threshold.

Even more so!

[Catnip]

Tuesday morning

E5A03418-675B-4F57-B51C-5A4DFD2738D3.png

[Bonovox]

I didn’t used to believe in the 6Z/18z inaccuracies but there is a notable disconnect with the 0/12z when you scroll through the model runs this winter. Not massive but noticeable

Indeed. I don't know. Everyone I've asked says it is initialized the same way and with the same amount of data, but still....something.

[Monty]

Oooooh. A little shortwave digging off Vancouver island on Wednesday. Now we are getting somewhere

[Catnip]

Oooooh. A little shortwave digging off Vancouver island on Wednesday. Now we are getting somewhere

#surprises

[Bonovox]

Typer should like this.

[Typeing3]

^^^^^^^^^^

Typer approved -12 threshold.

A few more notches and we can get into more significant territory...below -15c.