January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[AbbyJr]

00Z GFS is a complete mess. Obviously has no clue whats going to happen in the long range. Just outputting a variety of possible solutions each run. What we need is the short term to improve. At this point, its probably a 50/50 chance.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I take it down after new years

Chinese New year?

[Canada Goose]

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 5809044485

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

For what its worth, 3 out of the past 5 GFS runs have had a significant arctic blast around the same timeframe. That works out to 60% of recent runs showing arctic air. Not a super high percentage but shows that winter is still not off the table.

Let me guess: somewhere around day 10 or beyond, right?

Two weeks ago, the GooFuS was predicting a full-fledged arctic blast by the 4th of this month.

[Glacier]

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 5809044485

Is Whistler Roundhouse ever not the snowiest place in Canada in the winter?

[Canada Goose]

Is Whistler Roundhouse ever not the snowiest place in Canada in the winter?

Good question! I don't know.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Is Whistler Roundhouse ever not the snowiest place in Canada in the winter?

Looks like another illegally placed thermometer.

[Glacier]

Good question! I don't know.

I lost my databases when my old computer harddrive died, so can't look it up at the moment, but I believe that Pleasant Camp (at a mere 200 and something meters above sea level) has been the snowiest place in Canada some winters.

Looks like another illegally placed thermometer.

Looks good to me. They rise up the box as the snow comes down so it's always the right height above the snow. Maybe the green bars should be white?