February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:00 pm Very dry air spilling through the Fraser Canyon. Moisture unable to overcome it.

Looks cold. The good news is this run is very dry (no precip at all through the weekend) which gives us a much needed break from rain.
What a waste of nice, hard-to-get arctic air.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

850mb temps look very cold by Friday AM but looks like clouds sneak up to the lower mainland which could limit the possibility for extreme mins.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:04 pm Could see impressive lows but lack of any snow cover will lead to surface temps creeping over the freezing mark in Metro Van.
Agreed, but most of the mainland will probably get at least 2-5cm on Wednesday morning. Euro and GEM seem to have been pretty consistent in developing a surface low along the arctic front.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:00 pm Very dry air spilling through the Fraser Canyon. Moisture unable to overcome it.

Looks cold. The good news is this run is very dry (no precip at all through the weekend) which gives us a much needed break from rain.
The model riding ain't over yet, still some wiggle room, need to make a goal line stand and some offensive adjustments .
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Yep. Gfs looking colder more suppressed tonight. 18z JMA appeared to have some moisture with the arctic front. Wait to see if the euro continues to trend north or have things stalled in that regard.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

High to the north and that low offshore will really crank up the outflow late Wednesday into Thursday. Could see damaging winds in the valley with these kind of gradients.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 1135351809
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:15 pm Yep. Gfs looking colder more suppressed tonight. 18z JMA appeared to have some moisture with the arctic front. Wait to see if the euro continues to trend north or have things stalled in that regard.
Happy to see the GFS keeps things suppressed. Hopefully we get some snow with the arctic front on Wednesday and Thursday/Friday stay clear to keep those extreme mins on the table.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

NNW winds have really ramped it up here
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

00Z GFS does not break down the 500mb pattern through the long range. Keeps the cold in place. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

The GEM has regained its senses after taking leave of them for a couple runs
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

This run could drop 50- 100cm somewhere in Southern WA and Northern Oregon

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:39 pm This run could drop 50- 100cm somewhere in Southern WA and Northern Oregon
Life must be hard as the designated wet blanket

Sorry...

...but also not
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Sun Feb 07, 2021 8:40 pm Life must be hard as the designated wet blanket
Drier! :thumbup:

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