February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:06 pm ecmwf-ensemble-KBLI-indiv_snow-2807200.png

All righty now, everyone just needs to CALM DOWN a bit about this thing being nothing but a big bust-a-roni. Based on the most recent ECMWF ensembles for KBLI:

• 45 out of 50 members (90%) had an inch (2.5 cm) or more of snow in the coming week.
• 80% had 2" (5 cm) or more.
• 60% had 4" (10 cm) or more.
• 34% had 8" (20 cm) or more.

The mean snowfall was 6.3" and the median was 5.1". And I bet those figures are comparable across most of the Lower Mainland.

Bottom like is that odds strongly disfavor this being a complete zero.
Nito must have hacked into ensemble member #42. :lol:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:25 pm Nito must have hacked into ensemble member #42. :lol:
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:23 pm 12km resolution.
It forgets we have mountains. :lol:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

ICON isn't backing down
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Lytton down to -7ËšC.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:18 pm I'd like to see John's 1915 Bauers when he played for the Vancouver Bitcoins , I mean millionaires.
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:lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Forrest Gump
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:37 pm Lytton down to -7ËšC.
Clinton -19°
Kamloops -11°
Merritt -8°
Yale -8°
Hope -4°
Abbotsford +6°
White Rock -1°
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

00z GFS going with a full out blast of wind starting tomorrow morning through Friday.

Low is going into Eugene/Salam on this run.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hmm looks like a slightly northward trend for Friday?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:51 pm Clinton -19°
Kamloops -11°
Merritt -8°
Yale -8°
Hope -4°
Abbotsford +6°
White Rock -1°
LOL!
It's called clown range for a reason.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:51 pm Clinton -19°
Kamloops -11°
Merritt -8°
Yale -8°
Hope -4°
Abbotsford +6°
White Rock -1°
Wow isn't that an all time record for Abbotsford?
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:53 pm Hmm looks like a slightly northward trend for Friday?
Less compact. Looks like an open wave rather than a low...It would be typical PNW fashion to see it underdevelop even further leading to less outflow down there and more warming. :lol:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

These runs being more aggressive with the cold air are killing our snow chances. Anything more than a cm or 2 would seem like a big score at this point.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:51 pm Clinton -19°
Kamloops -11°
Merritt -8°
Yale -8°
Hope -4°
Abbotsford +6°
White Rock -1°
Clinton is down to -26 now. They decouple very well on a clear night up there. They will probably blow by ECs forecast low by 5-7 degrees
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 7:55 pm Less compact. Looks like an open wave rather than a low...It would be typical PNW fashion to see it underdevelop even further leading to less outflow down there and more warming. :lol:
Open wave. :wave: more warming. :blowtor: less outflow. :fart2:
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Mon Feb 08, 2021 8:10 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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