February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Monty]

Forecast low was -17. Actual low at my place: -22.3C. Actual low at my friend's place down at the bottom of the hill: -25C.

I think Clinton hit -38 or below after a forecast low of -27

[Monty]

Are we tracking any snow from tonight into tomorrow morning/afternoon?

Can’t rule out a few CMs tonight when a more impressive burst of outflow kicks in.

[Catnip]

24 hr Snowfall amounts

As of 4am Sat

12z sat snow.png

As of 4am Sun

12z sun snow.png

[Catnip]

Next system approaches later in the day Sunday. It looks like a transitional snowfall? Too far out for those details.

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[Michael1]

We're getting a good flurry here right now. Not enough to accumulate, but at least it's falling

[Roberts Creeker]

Low: -5.3C
Dew point: -12.5C
Wind gust: 35 km/h

Feels like snow out there but doesn't smell like it.

Low of -1 overnight
Currently +0.2
dp -3
high overcast

[Bonovox]

The Euro did move North, but it is now also in the time frame where it locks onto a solution. I’m not saying there won’t be anymore of a northward trend, but we are sitting in a good spot.

[Catnip]

24 snowfall as of 4am monday

12z monday.png

[PortKells]

Feels like snow out there but doesn't smell like it.

Low of -1 overnight
Currently +0.2
dp -3
high overcast

Doesn't really taste like it either...

[Catnip]

I don't have a breakdown of the Kuchera, however here is the total snowfall up to 10am Monday.

kuchera monday 10am.png

And here is the regular snowfall map, same time period.

snowfall 10am monday.png

[AbbyJr]

I don't have a breakdown of the Kuchera, however here is the total snowfall up to 10am Monday.



And here is the regular snowfall map, same time period.

Still snowing Monday morning.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr-3390400.png

[Esquimalt39]

I don't have a breakdown of the Kuchera, however here is the total snowfall up to 10am Monday.

kuchera monday 10am.png

And here is the regular snowfall map, same time period.

snowfall 10am monday.png

Thats an extremely sharp gradient on the south island.

[Catnip]

Still snowing Monday morning.

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype_3hr-3390400.png

Models sometimes scour out the cold air too quickly, so who knows if/when/where we transition. Still a few details to work out.

[PortKells]

Hmm. Are we in the sweet spot too early?

[Esquimalt39]

Hmm. Are we in the sweet spot too early?

The "sweet spot" right now is the Olympia area. So still quite a bit of room for it to trend north.