February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:43 am Hmm. Are we in the sweet spot too early?
I would say no.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I'm not "excited" about any of this snow until it's actually snowing. I haven't had anything since Dec 21 except a few traces of snow.

On another note, many people in the radio industry just lost their jobs today. TSN 1040 is no more.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

:thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthHillFrosty »

Looking to be a shortened version of 2019. Nice region wide event. South scores first, then you guys score later in the weekend!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 9:16 am Next weekend just looks bad...
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:42 am Models sometimes scour out the cold air too quickly, so who knows if/when/where we transition. Still a few details to work out.

:thumbup:
They often do.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:58 amThey often do.
Particularly from Abbotsford eastward.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:36 am Doesn't really taste like it either...
Yes frozen mud has a totally different taste :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

SouthHillFrosty wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:56 am Looking to be a shortened version of 2019. Nice region wide event. South scores first, then you guys score later in the weekend!
That’s generally how the good regionwide totals happen.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:37 am I don't have a breakdown of the Kuchera, however here is the total snowfall up to 10am Monday.

kuchera monday 10am.png

And here is the regular snowfall map, same time period.

snowfall 10am monday.png
Looks good. I’m in the edge of the whitish colour. Snow is white so that’s a good sign.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bit worried that maps are underdoing precip. 30cm-50cm this weekend? Near blizzard conditions for the Valley with strong outflow and a potential brief icing for E Metro Van.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

T3, Monty, Nito, this is a question for you. With that west-southwesterly track on the Saturday system, could we expect precipitation enhancement in the Victoria area from north easterlies meeting the westerly flow?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 10:25 am I think Clinton hit -38 or below after a forecast low of -27
Puntzi Mnt in the Chilcotin was forecast at something like -33 and hit -40, so ya, some pretty big misses today! Clinton seems to take the cake
though.

EDIT: actually, Clinton has two stations, and the "airport" is close to 10 degrees colder in the mornings this time of year. I believe the forecast for Clinton is actually at the other station (CLINTON RCS), so not as big a miss as it seems.
Last edited by Glacier on Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Roberts Creeker wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:01 am Yes frozen mud has a totally different taste :lol: :lol:
Mud? :lol:

Kidding, only my dog likes to eat the sheep poo-cicles.
But it is nice to have that mud freeze out here, it's been way too muddy for way too long.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:20 am Bit worried that maps are underdoing precip. 30cm-50cm this weekend? Near blizzard conditions for the Valley with strong outflow and a potential brief icing for E Metro Van.
The trend from run to run is fairly astounding. I wish it was during the week so we could get a long long weekend out of it.
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