February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Snowfall warning for comox and CR. I’ve seen many models showing bands of heavy flurries up that way today. They will be the winners with this round
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NoahG »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:47 am Snowfall warning for comox and CR. I’ve seen many models showing bands of heavy flurries up that way today. They will be the winners with this round
Looks like we’ll see some. Doubt it’ll be warning worthy though
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Monty
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

I think Victoria looks good for a couple cm today. Some inflow through the strait before the next surge of outflow arrives
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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tyweather
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I am getting a flurry currently
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:47 am -20C I believe... of course now that I want to check I can't find it.

It should be noted that EC has softened a lot of their criteria in recent years, making it easier to trigger warnings.
Still -20C...

arctic_outflow.PNG
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:dragon:

Fall/Winter 2025/26
Low min: -5.0C (Feb 20th)
Low max: 2.8C (Feb 19th)
Snowfall: 3 cm
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Pomoman wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:46 am Thanks everyone for the replies.
I guess we shall see where things go after the weekend. We still don’t know yet by the sounds of it but seems more likely it will warm by then.

Now that I said it was bone dry here, snow is picking up
I confidently predicted no snow today earlier this morning in a local Reddit group, based on models, before dawn. I now see echoes start to pop up all over the place on the Algergrove radar. So count on a widespread dusting? You’re welcome.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:17 am Some flurries outside.
:shock:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Hawk
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:47 am Snowfall warning for comox and CR. I’ve seen many models showing bands of heavy flurries up that way today. They will be the winners with this round
Imo SE east side Island will get it too
:think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Extremely light tickle of snow here.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Looking at the radar, there’s snow showers moving SW from Chilliwack to Abbotsford, and other showers moving SE along the strait and over western parts of the greater Vancouver. Still very light and spotty, but there they are, popping up. Maybe some convergence and stronger precip where and when the two streams meet?

#surprises
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:28 am -3.3 overnight low so far.

Yesterday was -4.6
A new term. Called the Arctic Trickle. Will probably pay dividends for us once the moisture arrives and the trickle persists. We will likely be in the 0c snow boundary. I hope
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

LM gets clipped Fri into Sat

Image


Sunday looks like a messy overrunning event.

Image
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:00 am LM gets clipped Fri into Sat

Image


Sunday looks like a messy overrunning event.

Image
Was just about to question whether you'd post these for going against the narrative. Proved me wrong :thumbup:
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Its picking up! That is a semi-serious tickle of snow happening in Port Kells!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

PortKells wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:04 am Its picking up! That is a semi-serious tickle of snow happening in Port Kells!
Send it west please :D
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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