February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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JaidynB
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by JaidynB »

Been snowing on Saltspring since around 9:30. Only just starting to see accumulation
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Esquimalt39
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:54 pm Early Saturday last four NAM runs trend.
Looks like it's caving to just about everyone else with that low hanging up by Haida Gwaii
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Not local, but damn that’s cool!

https://twitter.com/pamelaapostolo1/sta ... 72352?s=21
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

https://twitter.com/nwsseattle/status/1 ... 59170?s=21
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:57 pm Looks like it's caving to just about everyone else with that low hanging up by Haida Gwaii
From what others here have said (apologies, don't exactly remember who) the NAM's low placement often leaves much to be desired.
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Esquimalt39
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:03 pm From what others here have said (apologies, don't exactly remember who) the NAM's low placement often leaves much to be desired.
This run was actually decent for my area (10 inches). But I want to see it further north so that my accumulations are safer and you can score!
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

My temperature just barely snuck above the freezing mark and now back down to -.1. So close :x
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moonshadow0825
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:28 pm Dew points are going down.
no kidding, we've dropped from -7 to -11 in the last hour, humidity at 48%, not a flake in sight. temp holding steady at -1C
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

https://twitter.com/meteo_matt/status/1 ... 50689?s=21
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:03 pm From what others here have said (apologies, don't exactly remember who) the NAM's low placement often leaves much to be desired.
It doesn't do well with large scale patterns. However some ECMWF and GFS runs have been hinting towards seeing a split of the energy with the main low going south. Interesting to see the NAM showing this as well.

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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Temp -2ËšC, Dp -11ËšC.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Similar to Dec 21/08. :thumbup:

Looks like ~15-25cm for most of metro van on that map.
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Esquimalt39
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:32 pm Similar to Dec 21/08. :thumbup:

Looks like ~15-25cm for most of metro van on that map.
The AF guys were saying they only got 6 inches with that one lol.
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Forrest Gump
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:38 am We are nowhere close to a lock on a solution. There is definitely potential for a region wide snowstorm on the weekend. But it could also bust. :lol:
I guess that's why Mark Madryga on the noon news was kinda still sitting on the fence, doesn't want to commit to any scenario just yet,but did say that several cm's of snow is probable.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:36 pm The AF guys were saying they only got 6 inches with that one lol.
Yeah, this one looks to be improved for them at this point.

I think models were a bit overzealous with outflow limiting snow in metro van prior to the Dec 21/08 storm (similar to this one at the moment). YVR still ended up picking up 28cm with the event, including a one day total of 22cm.

Edit: Here's the WRF prediction from just a day before
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Last edited by Typeing3 on Wed Feb 10, 2021 1:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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