February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:39 am Cold temps are out of the picture unless the airmass below decouples with clear skies as well. Persistant winds and cloudcover means very low DP and temps near freezing.

Different story had the PV resided over BC instead of being near Thunder Bay. This is a homegrown arctic airmass thats very dry.

Still impressive that its remaining cold. I'm amazed temps haven't warmed up with the channeling and near-downsloping we are seeing.
Thats why when we first started tracking this winter event, it was looking a lot more memorable. Some model runs had the PV right over BC and the PNW. Those solutions quickly vanished and we ended up with a typical run of the mill dry continental arctic trickle. :bang: :bang: :bang:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

I am finally getting outflow winds. Not very strong but the strongest so far this week.
Temp: -3.0
DP: -15
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:39 am Cold temps are out of the picture unless the airmass below decouples with clear skies as well. Persistant winds and cloudcover means very low DP and temps near freezing.

Different story had the PV resided over BC instead of being near Thunder Bay. This is a homegrown arctic airmass thats very dry.

Still impressive that its remaining cold. I'm amazed temps haven't warmed up with the channeling and near-downsloping we are seeing.
Seems to be the theme recently.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 8:24 am He won again? So it’s going to far north now. :shock:

Okay I’m joking. When was the last 20cm snowfall at YVR?
December 24th, 2008 :thumbdown:

Came close on Dec 19, 2012 with 19.6cm.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Vancouver »

Time to get ready for spring!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by NoahG »

Do we have the 12Z eps snow map yet?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Pumpkin Seed wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:29 am That’s why I don’t like any epic or extreme cold which means all the good stuff always go south and we end up getting nothing, maybe just a few cm of slushy snow at the end of the event as consolation prize or even worse just cold rain.
The thing is... this kind of setup doesn't deliver extreme cold to the south coast.

More often than not when we get the extreme cold it's either preceded by a snowfall or ends in a big overrunning event.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Vancouver wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:05 am Time to get ready for spring!
Yes, bring on those +18C days with sunshine. :clap:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

I think it is damn cold!!! -8 this morning with winds ripping through! I find it hard to believe we won't get any snow? But I aint no weather lady so :lol: still cold as crap even in sun with these winds! Squamish does tend to take longer to warm up sooooo hope we get snow at some point!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Really feels like Saturday is the one that got away. Fairly strong system dropping down from the WNW is a great track for a snowstorm around these parts.

It's just too bad it looks to be suppressed and completely split which really helps the moisture get shredded by the outflow.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Wintergirl wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:23 am I think it is damn cold!!! -8 this morning with winds ripping through! I find it hard to believe we won't get any snow? But I aint no weather lady so :lol: still cold as crap even in sun with these winds! Squamish does tend to take longer to warm up sooooo hope we get snow at some point!
Nice to see you're finally getting those outflow winds. :thumbup:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Antares wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:21 am Yes, bring on those +18C days with sunshine. :clap:
We'll probably have to wait till May or June for that if we end up with a spring 2008 or 2011 repeat.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Some clearing to our North. Finally maybe the skies will clear. Hopefully tonight we can get some damn good lows for once.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 10:39 am Cold temps are out of the picture unless the airmass below decouples with clear skies as well. Persistant winds and cloudcover means very low DP and temps near freezing.

Different story had the PV resided over BC instead of being near Thunder Bay. This is a homegrown arctic airmass thats very dry.

Still impressive that its remaining cold. I'm amazed temps haven't warmed up with the channeling and near-downsloping we are seeing.
What i meant was IF we had a PG High, AND it stayed put...like 1996 iirc?? Anyone..it was friggin freezing before that massive dump correct?
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 11:24 am Really feels like Saturday is the one that got away. Fairly strong system dropping down from the WNW is a great track for a snowstorm around these parts.

It's just too bad it looks to be suppressed and completely split which really helps the moisture get shredded by the outflow.
thats-right-thats-the-way-she-goes-sometimes-she-goes-sometimes-it-doesnt-she-didnt-go-thats-the-way.jpg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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