February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
Wintergirl
Weather Tracker
Weather Tracker
Posts: 209
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:32 pm
Location: Squamish
Has thanked: 231 times
Been thanked: 866 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

12cms and still puking snow. No melting yet but im sure it will come later today. Looks like we go below freezing for the next couple nights so that will be nice!
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13672 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

#2014
ens_image-3.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

ECMWF has an atmospheric river impacting the South Coast starting Fri through Monday.

Image

GFS had a run of the mill system with a quick hitting baroclinic boundary passing Monday.

Image


Each bring a trough in by late Monday.
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 4135
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 23682 times
Been thanked: 8022 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Wintergirl wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:15 am I find it hilarious that Environment Canada issues snowfall warning for everyone but us and yet no one gets any of what was forecasted, and we get no warnings at all and it is puking snow here! This is when living in Squamish pays off in these scenarios, it paid off in the end!
Congrats on your snow!!!

Woke up to rain. Still have a good covering of white but it's typical west coast snow, wet, slushy and slippery.

EC still determinedly hanging onto their snowfall warning for the Sunshine Coast, any idea why? I'm hoping they know something no one else does :lol:

Snowfall warning in effect for:

Sunshine Coast - Gibsons to Earls Cove
Sunshine Coast - Saltery Bay to Powell River
Snowfall with total amounts of 10 to 15 cm continues.

Snow continues this morning with a further 5 to 10 cm before it changes to rain by this afternoon.

Total snowfall accumulation of 10 to 15 cm is expected.
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6345
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12962 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hound wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 9:46 am -7 mid day in Houstin Texas near the coast of one of the warmest bodies of water. Unfricken real. And we can't even pull off a day with a high of -3 Disgusting.

Right now half of the country of Mexico is colder than here and colder than it was last week. What a joke.
Galveston, Texas this morning. Snow on the beach.
babesbeach.jpg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6345
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12962 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:51 am ECMWF has an atmospheric river impacting the South Coast starting Fri through Monday.

Image

GFS had a run of the mill system with a quick hitting baroclinic boundary passing Monday.

Image


Each bring a trough in by late Monday.
3" more for me! Oh, wait… that’s rain.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7098
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6962 times
Been thanked: 16338 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 11:01 am 3" more for me! Oh, wait… that’s rain.
Yeah. Just really wet.

Weak signal on this run for anything cold. Looked like it was going to be a solidly cold period the next 10 days but the GFS and ECMWF op runs have considerably warmed the next 7 days up.

Edit: Higher elevation snows maybe Wed into Thurs this week.
Last edited by wetcoast91 on Mon Feb 15, 2021 11:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6345
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4874 times
Been thanked: 12962 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

South Island wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:27 am Things are definitely looking interesting in the 10-15 day range.
More snow for Bellingham and the Island!

Think LM donut holes until it warms up and rains! C'MON!!!
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8632
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17157 times
Been thanked: 8329 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Hound wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:37 am Hawk, It would be more therapeutic if others would rant as well, lol. :mrgreen:
:clap:
Yes I agree but I am stuck in the Similkameens where it has been snowing since last night. Temperature holding steady at -7 Celsius and maybe only 5cm has fallen. Victory after victory in the Similkameens :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8632
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17157 times
Been thanked: 8329 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Radar wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:40 am It's the Smilkameen. They don't get big snow unless you are above 5,000ft. Smilkameen area is only good for dirt bike riding, fishing, and river tubing.
This year has seen snow way above average and large dumps. 3x 1 foot snowfalls and then 22" in 24 hours. Add into that multiple more snow falls of between 1 cm and 5 cm and when I say multiple I'm going to say maybe 30 or 40 of those..maybe more :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Total Weather Geek
Total Weather Geek
Posts: 8632
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley-Willoughby/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 100m/950m
Has thanked: 17157 times
Been thanked: 8329 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

And yes Radar I am going ice fishing now. And where I go snowmobiling is usually around the 5000 foot elevation. But you don't need to be that high to get a lot of snow. Usually around 4,000 ft and it's deep
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
smartlikefox
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 68
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 7:29 am
Location: Nanaimo
Has thanked: 2 times
Been thanked: 285 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by smartlikefox »

Didn't realize how much snow fell overnight here. Seems to have finally stopped snowing and the sun is poking thru. 35-40cms still on the ground in my yard here in Nanaimo.
Nimbus2
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 132
Joined: Wed Jan 13, 2021 6:18 pm
Location: East of Duncan
Elevation: 35
Has thanked: 272 times
Been thanked: 508 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus2 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:59 am Galveston, Texas this morning. Snow on the beach.

babesbeach.jpg
Minus 5 there with a NW 40-50 km/h wind!
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IDUNCA29

Author of 'Weather of British Columbia'
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14198
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28397 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 10:12 am Well, hopefully we see a wet and cool Summer. La Nina and what looks like a negative PDO. Unless I'm completely wrong about the latter.
Count me out of that. We need another July 2009 heatwave this summer. Hopefully YVR can crack 35c. :thumbup:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6738
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4808 times
Been thanked: 15613 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 11:24 am Count me out of that. We need another July 2009 heatwave this summer. Hopefully YVR can crack 35c. :thumbup:
Haha. I know where you stand on summer. ;)
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Post Reply