May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4824
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 30784 times
Been thanked: 10436 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

I hope this upcoming wet period actually delivers some moderate rain. The last few systems have been so weak the rain didn't even penetrate under the tree cover in my yard. We need some good rain.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60003 times
Been thanked: 19783 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sun May 16, 2021 3:01 pm Looks like a short lived pattern change and then dry again. I wonder if this dry pattern and obvious NE Pacific strong high pressure trend so early this year (summer pattern) will mean it will change early to a Fall pattern and we get a soaking August/September? It's happened before! In 2004 we had a very dry April and May and a hot July and early part of August and then the switch was flipped and we had a very wet 2nd half of August and September. In 2008 it was a similar cool and dry spring and a warm May and June then August 2008 was a soaker. Even 2015 was looking like a record drought then the rains came early.
Nice analysis C79 and you may right the end of the week is looking pleasant 22c is absolutely perfect for the fraser valley, even some possible T-showers thrown in for Tuesday. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
Antares
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:10 pm
Location: Wellington, PEI
Elevation: 5m
Has thanked: 1655 times
Been thanked: 2345 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Some very light rain this morning but it has stopped. I sure hope the rain coming in later today doesn't just disappear...
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
Coquitlam79
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 491
Joined: Sun May 05, 2019 6:48 pm
Location: Pipeline road near town centre park, Coquitlam
Has thanked: 70 times
Been thanked: 1130 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

Antares wrote: Mon May 17, 2021 10:33 am Some very light rain this morning but it has stopped. I sure hope the rain coming in later today doesn't just disappear...
Micheal Kuss was saying that this afternoon and evening should be a decent soaking. I'm not holding my breath and you're right, the rain has been much lighter than forecast really since March. Every time there is rain in the forecast it ends up being much weaker and sometimes no rain at all. I wonder if the typical onshore flow that brings those couple weeks of"Juneuary" weather in a normal year will even happen this year. 🤔
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Radar starting to fill in pretty good...
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Ok I'm thinking we get half an inch just looking at that Radar. Hallelujah.
User avatar
Antares
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1329
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:10 pm
Location: Wellington, PEI
Elevation: 5m
Has thanked: 1655 times
Been thanked: 2345 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Yeah it is raining nicely here. Hope it lasts a few hours (which really isn't that long). :thumbup:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 14197
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 26799 times
Been thanked: 28394 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Steady light/moderate rain here.
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon May 17, 2021 7:16 pm Steady light/moderate rain here.
Same. This could be interesting though.

hrrr_ref_frzn_nwus_5.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60003 times
Been thanked: 19783 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

2.8mm so far in my rain bucket in south Sardis also reports of thunder approx. 4:30p.m. so the air mass is volatile it would appear. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60003 times
Been thanked: 19783 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon May 17, 2021 7:16 pm Steady light/moderate rain here.
Nice to see you back T3. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
HarrisonSasquatchWx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 22656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Harrison Hot Springs B.C.
Has thanked: 60003 times
Been thanked: 19783 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Mon May 17, 2021 10:55 am Micheal Kuss was saying that this afternoon and evening should be a decent soaking. I'm not holding my breath and you're right, the rain has been much lighter than forecast really since March. Every time there is rain in the forecast it ends up being much weaker and sometimes no rain at all. I wonder if the typical onshore flow that brings those couple weeks of"Juneuary" weather in a normal year will even happen this year. 🤔
How's the next string of nice weather looking C79? I heard it may not last as long as the last one.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Looks like another band heading across the strait. But overall, once again...meh.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7726
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 589 times
Been thanked: 13671 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The HRRR might be picking up on that deformation band or whatever it is. Looks like somebody might get a big of fun. Thunder maybe?

hrrr_ref_frzn_nwus_4.png
hrrr_ref_frzn_nwus_5 (1).png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4824
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 30784 times
Been thanked: 10436 times

Re: May 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Hopefully you AND those maps are onto something! We need some action! :thumbup:
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
Post Reply