June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[BhamMe]

I see June temps like this and I can only imagine how horrible the August fires are going to be out here.

[Canada Goose]

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[Typeing3]

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12z GFS op looks equivalent to those crazy cold runs back in Feb that were promising high/low -10c/-20c temps at YVR and -15c/-25c in the valley.

[Canada Goose]

12z GFS op looks equivalent to those crazy cold runs back in Feb that were promising high/low -10c/-20c temps at YVR and -15c/-25c in the valley.

Here, I think we have only the choice between hot, hotter and hottest. Historic heatwave is coming for sure.

[arbetrader]

Soooo..... We're going to Osoyoos area next Saturday for a week... I'm kind of concerned our little a/c system in our rv won't be able to keep up - doh!! Man, it's going to be a scorcher lol. I like heat and all, but this seems a little excessive. I'm actually pretty concerned.

[Typeing3]

Here, I think we have only the choice between hot, hotter and hottest. Historic heatwave is coming for sure.

I'd wait till the event is within 72-96hrs before saying it's historic. We've seen the models promise extreme heat only to moderate but extend the period of moderate heat many times in the past.

[AbbyJr]

12z GFS op looks equivalent to those crazy cold runs back in Feb that were promising high/low -10c/-20c temps at YVR and -15c/-25c in the valley.

True but I'd guess it's probably easier to get extreme heat here then extreme cold. Not saying the extreme heat solutions will verify but I would give them a higher chance of verifying then historic cold.

[Bc_trucker]

Woah....didn't expect it to be so busy here this time of the year.....

Hope everyone is enjoying this weather? Me personally... I'm looking forward to winter ❄☃️❄🌨🌨

Any chance we might see some thunderstorms here?

[AbbyJr]

Woah....didn't expect it to be so busy here this time of the year.....

Hope everyone is enjoying this weather? Me personally... I'm looking forward to winter ❄☃️❄🌨🌨

Any chance we might see some thunderstorms here?

This forum gets busy as soon as interesting weather is modelled.

I hope we can manage at least one thunderstorm.

[VanCitySouth]

12z GFS op looks equivalent to those crazy cold runs back in Feb that were promising high/low -10c/-20c temps at YVR and -15c/-25c in the valley.

Op GFS also didn't back down until like, 3 or 4 days before the snap. So yeah I'd echo those saying wait until 72 or even 48 hours out.

[Typeing3]

True but I'd guess it's probably easier to get extreme heat here then extreme cold. Not saying the extreme heat solutions will verify but I would give them a higher chance of verifying then historic cold.

Agreed.

But it also depends how we qualify extreme heat and extreme cold. At YVR I'd say anything below -12c or anything above 30c should be the threshold (both values likely have similar reoccurrence rates as per 1981-2010 climate normals), while at YXX it's probably closer to -14c or 34c.

[Bonovox]

Worst case scenario is we see an extended period of heat followed by dry lightning in the interior. Unfortunately, such a scenario is being depicted on the Euro.

Hopefully all of this gets “watered” down as we approach the 72 hour window.

[Typeing3]

18z GFS highs for YVR/YXX (at this point I'd subtract about 5c from the Saturday-Monday numbers to be more realistic)

Friday: 25c/30c
Saturday: 29c/36c
Sunday: 32c/39c
Monday: 34c/42c
Tuesday: 24c/30c

18z GFS ensembles:

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[Rubus_Leucodermis]

18z GFS highs for YVR/YXX (at this point I'd subtract about 5c from the Saturday-Monday numbers to be more realistic)

Friday: 25c/30c
Saturday: 29c/36
Sunday: 32c/39c
Monday: 34c/42c
Tuesday: 24c/30c

18z GFS ensembles:
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123.png

I guess I can console myself that I no longer live in Portland, where it’s sure to get a lot hotter.

[AbbyJr]

Feels like 55C in Abbotsford? Not a chance.

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