June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[Typeing3]

850mb temps remain above 22c from Friday thru Tuesday (peaking at 26c on Sunday) per 00z GFS.

[PortKells]

Go Gem Go! Slightly cooler!

[Bonovox]

00Z GFS

[Bonovox]

The 00Z GEM is far more palatable.

[Typeing3]

The 00Z GEM is far more palatable.

GEM with the rug pull.

[VanCitySouth]

GEM with the rug pull.

Would not mind this rug pull

[Bonovox]

Uh oh. 00Z Euro comes in warmer than the 12Z.

[AbbyJr]

Here is a well written write up by Cliff Mass on the potential heat wave in the PNW.

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/06/ ... hwest.html

[Monty]

The 00Z GEM is far more palatable.

That palatable 36 is still a Monthly record for June in Abbotsford, I believe?

[Bonovox]

That palatable 36 is still a Monthly record for June in Abbotsford, I believe?

I don’t know. I’ll take it over the garbage the GFS is spewing though.

[Monty]

I’m cheering for the extreme solutions. I’m not gonna notice the difference between 36 and 40C. It’s gonna be brutal heat either way. Might as well set some records.

[Bonovox]

I’m cheering for the extreme solutions. I’m not gonna notice the difference between 36 and 40C. It’s gonna be brutal heat either way. Might as well set some records.

Fair point.

I’m cheering for a last minute model collapse. One can dream, I suppose.

[AbbyJr]

ecmwf-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4320000.png

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4320000.png

gem-all-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4320000.png

nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4338000.png

[Monty]

I think some June records will fall. I have a hard time buying all time records will happen given the time of year. But given the amplitude of the ridge the models are showing it could be possible

[Typeing3]

Was doing a bit of digging into past June heatwaves in our region and I think June 1925 may be the one to beat. Temps peaked at 37.2c at the old New Westminster station during that event.