June 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[AbbyJr]

I hope you are right, but I am not convinced that is going to be the case. I think a blend between the Euro and GFS is probably the way to go until we get into range of the HRDPS and other mesoscale models.

Agreed.

[Abby_wx]

Even if he models are a bit overdone the humidex will.likely be over 40c this weekend, it's going to feel like the Philippines. Mabuhay....

We can handle a 40-45 degree humidex in the valley... it's happened plenty of times, most notably in 2009 when it was between 43 and 45. But I know we've reached 40-42 a couple of times since then.

I think the likeliest scenario at this point is a real temperature of 36-38C and a humidex around 42-43. However, if we do see actual temperatures of 40+C, things could get very nasty.

[PortKells]

I'm good with anything up into the low 40s as long as it's a relatively dry heat.

You can count me out of any of the humid crap Southern Ontario or the SE USA experiences every summer.

Should be pretty humid here, no?

[AbbyJr]

We can handle a 40-45 degree humidex in the valley... it's happened plenty of times, most notably in 2009 when it was between 43 and 45. But I know we've reached 40-42 a couple of times since then.

I think the likeliest scenario at this point is a real temperature of 36-38C and a humidex around 42-43. However, if we do see actual temperatures of 40+C, things could get very nasty.

Even 36-38C is uncomfortably hot and reaching record levels, especially for June. This looks to be a memorable heat wave.

[AbbyJr]

Its truly remarkable to see the National Blend of Models showing such extreme heat values. July 2009 definitely comes to mind.

nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

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nbm-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

nbm-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

[PortKells]

You know what's hilarious, Phil was absolutely adamant this would be a troughy period. He had all those simultaneously long and short winded explanations for it. And here we are...the "cool down" keeps getting punted back every single run.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Its truly remarkable to see the National Blend of Models showing such extreme heat values. July 2009 definitely comes to mind.

nbm-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

nbm-CWHC-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

nbm-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

nbm-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-4402800.png

Yikes! Hopefully not…

[Coquitlam79]

Interesting post by Cliff Mass on his blog, how a tropical depression in the western Pacific has been the catalyst for the amplified pattern (wavy jet stream) that will be pumping up the massive ridge to give us record breaking Temps this weekend. As it moves north it pushed the jet stream causing it to wobble. I'm guessing if this thing weakens faster then it will be slightly less amplified jet stream and a slightly weaker ridge over western NA?

W.png

[AbbyJr]

https://twitter.com/KGordonGlobalBC/sta ... 41409?s=20

https://twitter.com/bhensonweather/stat ... 14147?s=20

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

https://twitter.com/KGordonGlobalBC/sta ... 41409?s=20

https://twitter.com/bhensonweather/stat ... 14147?s=20

Reached a high of 29.6c today in south Sardis, suffice to say the upcoming heatwave is looking absolutely insane.

[Bonovox]

The 00Z ICON not backing down on the heat initially, but then is cooler on Monday than the 18Z.

[Bonovox]

Meanwhile the 00Z GFS is still piping HOT this weekend, but then substantially cooler on Monday compared to the 18Z. Still hot though.

[Bonovox]

Some nice trends so far.

[Antares]

I'm gonna say the models are heavily overdoing the heat.

I'd love (and hate since I don't have AC) to see these numbers verify but I don't think it will happen.

It will all fall apart at the last minute, just like our "Arctic" blasts.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

I'm gonna say the models are heavily overdoing the heat.

I'd love (and hate since I don't have AC) to see these numbers verify but I don't think it will happen.

It will all fall apart at the last minute, just like our "Arctic" blasts.

Yah, models are practicing for this winter all in then gonzo.