October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Glacier wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 3:24 pm Quite dry, but they can get some good snowfalls. Her town is beside the ocean so quite mild in the winter. They only average 300mm of precipitation in a year, which is drier than Osoyoos. The wet season is July-September. Dry season is March-June.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palmer,_Alaska#Climate
That is dry. Interesting climate, I would have expected more precipitation right on the ocean.
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Glacier
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Glacier »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 4:57 pm That is dry. Interesting climate, I would have expected more precipitation right on the ocean.
Anchorage-Wasilla-Palmer, and the rest of the Cook Inlet has the luxury of the Kenai peninsula to the south, which creates a massive rain shadow.

There's a train tunnel that you can drive on that goes right through the mountain to Whittier on the other side. The tunnel is 4km long, and when you emerge out the otherside, you average over 5,000 mm of rain. Plus another 400mm that comes down as snow. This is one of the wettest places in North America. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whittier,_Alaska#Climate
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Glacier wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 5:28 pm Anchorage-Wasilla-Palmer, and the rest of the Cook Inlet has the luxury of the Kenai peninsula to the south, which creates a massive rain shadow.

There's a train tunnel that you can drive on that goes right through the mountain to Whittier on the other side. The tunnel is 4km long, and when you emerge out the otherside, you average over 5,000 mm of rain. Plus another 400mm that comes down as snow. This is one of the wettest places in North America. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whittier,_Alaska#Climate
Micro climates are fascinating. What a difference. :shock:
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 9:03 pm Micro climates are fascinating. What a difference. :shock:
I remember when I was showing a friend the Columbia Gorge for the first time.

“Well, we should be getting out of the rain shortly.”

“That’s crazy! The weather doesn’t work that way! You don’t get to the same place and always have the rain stop!”

“Just watch…”
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 10:19 pm I remember when I was showing a friend the Columbia Gorge for the first time.

“Well, we should be getting out of the rain shortly.”

“That’s crazy! The weather doesn’t work that way! You don’t get to the same place and always have the rain stop!”

“Just watch…”
:lol: :lol: :clap:

Were they impressed?
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Antares »

BhamMe wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 1:57 pm Attended a wedding in Butte, MT this past weekend. The temps ran 34-64, bright sunny days. The fall colors driving from Helena to Butte we're outstanding but there is a still a large fire in a valley out there so smoke sat in some valley locations. If I can dig up a photo of the colors I'll post.

Happy early winter from the looks of it.
Yep, gonna snow here next week. :clap: :clap:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Antares wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 11:02 pm Yep, gonna snow here next week. :clap: :clap:
Lucky Ant 🐜 yah wouldn't surprise me early snow this year me thinks.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 11:11 pm Lucky Ant 🐜 yah wouldn't surprise me early snow this year me thinks.
Tyler was talking snow this week. I saw his forecast on the facebook Vancouver Island Weather Enthusiasts but couldn't find it elsewhere to link.
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Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image.png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Typeing3 »

Chilly!
gfs_T2m_nwus_31.png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Typeing3 wrote: Tue Oct 05, 2021 12:27 am Chilly!
gfs_T2m_nwus_31.png
I'll say hopefully it's a Neverending pattern all winter. :thumbup: Long Johnny undies and Gimpy ear muff weather.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Antares wrote: Mon Oct 04, 2021 11:02 pm Yep, gonna snow here next week. :clap: :clap:
Yes Mr Antman..nice move you made there recently :arrow: :arrow: :clap:
The Similkameens should be close too..for sure in the mountains..a 5 min drive :shh: :shh:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by tyweather »

Clown Range alert! Big storm on the 6z. It dies as it gets close to land though.
Image
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by AbbyJr »

Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Glacier »

30 degrees still in Saskatchwan! My place was a half degree warmer than Osoyoos yesterday, for what it's worth.
oct4summary.png
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