October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Hawk
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 1:33 am 00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (2).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
Not bad. Other than a couple of little bumps, which is expected, it stays relatively cool and below normal for the entire run. And it looks like a lot of precip as well. Hopefully this will build up the glacial snowpack in the high elevations that got melted in June of this year :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Hawk
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

#waituntilDecember :thumbup: :thumbup:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Antares
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Antares »

Hawk wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 5:19 am Nice score. Is your area near the Similkameens? :think: :think:
It depends. :think:

Mostly cloudy and -2.4C right now after a -4.5C low.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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wetcoast91
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by wetcoast91 »

Could see some flooding and potential landslides by Sunday morning. Ground is saturated but the summer heatwaves have done a number on the trees and surrounding soil. Not sure how much water the underlayer can retain...
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Glacier »

Crazy how no place in the Province has hit 14 degrees in the past two days. Yesterday, Fort Nelson was 1 of only 3 places to rise above 13 yesterday...
oct12.png
sum0ct13.png
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by John »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 9:48 am Could see some flooding and potential landslides by Sunday morning. Ground is saturated but the summer heatwaves have done a number on the trees and surrounding soil. Not sure how much water the underlayer can retain...
#DoomAndGloom
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by tyweather »

Glacier wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 9:52 am Crazy how no place in the Province has hit 14 degrees in the past two days. Yesterday, Fort Nelson was 1 of only 3 places to rise above 13 yesterday...

oct12.png

sum0ct13.png
LOL, Nelson? Vancouver Island view towards Comox Glacier yesterday morning.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Glacier »

tyweather wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 11:03 am LOL, Nelson? Vancouver Island view towards Comox Glacier yesterday morning.
Wow, nice pic!! Nelson on the 12th, Fort Nelson on the 13th. Ashcroft and Sandspit were the only others over 13.

By contrast, mid-20s in NB and a LOW of 18C in Ontario!
cansumoct13.png
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Hawk
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 9:48 am Could see some flooding and potential landslides by Sunday morning. Ground is saturated but the summer heatwaves have done a number on the trees and surrounding soil. Not sure how much water the underlayer can retain...
Trees have recovered and look fine imo after the last months rains. Soil? How is that affected Nito? :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Hawk
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Hawk »

:trailer: :trailer:
Antares wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 8:34 am It depends. :think:

Mostly cloudy and -2.4C right now after a -4.5C low.
:thumbup:
Nice :arrow: :arrow: you made Antman :wave:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Rainfall warning up for the Sunshine Coast.

I'm ready! I have my rain gauge bucket out and put some quick set cement along the edge of the garage doors where the water was coming in. I had silicone there for the past few years but it's not doing the job anymore. I hope this will work. Just heading out now to dig the trench around the cement pad.
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:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 9:48 am Could see some flooding and potential landslides by Sunday morning. Ground is saturated but the summer heatwaves have done a number on the trees and surrounding soil. Not sure how much water the underlayer can retain...
Ah look on the bright side El Nito, could be a sequel to the movie 🎬 a river runs through it now!
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Thu Oct 14, 2021 6:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 5:53 pm Rainfall warning up for the Sunshine Coast.

I'm ready! I have my rain gauge bucket out and put some quick set cement along the edge of the garage doors where the water was coming in. I had silicone there for the past few years but it's not doing the job anymore. I hope this will work. Just heading out now to dig the trench around the cement pad.
You might need a Popeye swimming pool never mind a bucket.🪣
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

tyweather wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 11:03 am LOL, Nelson? Vancouver Island view towards Comox Glacier yesterday morning.
:wtf: does your bike fly too Ty my man, wouldn't surprise me you get around more than the beach boys did.
Last edited by HarrisonSasquatchWx on Thu Oct 14, 2021 6:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

John wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 10:46 am#DoomAndGloom
Be happy John hockey's🏒 back winter might be epic, Christmas 🎄 is coming it's beautiful in the fraser valley John and besides there's many many rainy day's in the winter in the fraser valley.
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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