October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:19 pm

This year will be different. The 106.5 PG High will anchor us through a bitterly cold December and January as it pattern locks us back to the 70's

Edit: With repeated snowfalls starting early in the month. Think 2008. This years PNW SST's and major seasonal atmospheric anomalies will set us right up. Tell em Nito!!

Rubus_Leucodermis · Post by **Rubus_Leucodermis** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:24 pm

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:19 pm This year will be different. The 106.5 PG High will anchor us through a bitterly cold December and January as it pattern locks us back to the 70's

Just as long as I can finish moving before it kicks in.

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:29 pm

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:24 pm Just as long as I can finish moving before it kicks in.

You better hurry up Rubus. IMO you may have less than 30 days to work with. You're going to freeze your Blackberries off in Canada eh

Roberts Creeker · Post by **Roberts Creeker** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:49 pm

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 5:30 pm Get the plows out!!

mountain-view-leaf-plows-1449230563.jpg

I've never seen that before!

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:49 pm

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:19 pm This year will be different. The 106.5 PG High will anchor us through a bitterly cold December and January as it pattern locks us back to the 70's

Edit: With repeated snowfalls starting early in the month. Think 2008. This years PNW SST's and major seasonal atmospheric anomalies will set us right up. Tell em Nito!!

Do you have your moving van ready in case we get a big shipment of these?

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:54 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:49 pm Do you have your moving van ready in case we get a big shipment of these?

page_1.jpg

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 8:33 pm

00Z RGEM shows a major rain event for the Fraser Valley on Thursday. I'd imagine there would be at least some minor flooding if this run verifies. Whats interesting is that it shows the heaviest rain situated further east than usual, so Abbotsford could end up with higher totals this time around than Coquitlam. It all depends on the where the low tracks. We will see.

rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-5490800.png

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:04 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 8:33 pm 00Z RGEM shows a major rain event for the Fraser Valley on Thursday. I'd imagine there would be at least some minor flooding if this run verifies. Whats interesting is that it shows the heaviest rain situated further east than usual, so Abbotsford could end up with higher totals this time around than Coquitlam. It all depends on the where the low tracks. We will see.

rgem-all-vancouverski-precip_24hr_inch-5490800.png

Widespread 75-150mm daily totals across the lower mainland at face value. Very significant event.

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_67.png

AbbyJr · Post by **AbbyJr** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:09 pm

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:04 pm Widespread 75-150mm daily totals across the lower mainland at face value. Very significant event.
rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_67.png

From what I can see, the RGEM shows steady rain from around 1AM to 12AM on Thursday. Does the low stall or is it just slow moving?

It looks to me like its just slow moving but correct me if I'm wrong.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:17 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:09 pm From what I can see, the RGEM shows steady rain from around 1AM to 12AM on Thursday. Does the low stall or is it just slow moving?

It looks to me like its just slow moving but correct me if I'm wrong.

AR. Slow moving with a long moisture fetch.

Pomoman · Post by **Pomoman** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:23 pm

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:24 pm Just as long as I can finish moving before it kicks in.

Where did you settle on Rubus?

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 10:53 pm

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:09 pm From what I can see, the RGEM shows steady rain from around 1AM to 12AM on Thursday. Does the low stall or is it just slow moving?

It looks to me like its just slow moving but correct me if I'm wrong.

Definitely a slow mover

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Oct 25, 2021 11:36 pm

Some peak gusts

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Tue Oct 26, 2021 12:11 am

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Tue Oct 26, 2021 12:59 am

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/stat ... Pg26s%3D19

October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

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