October 2021 Forecasts and Discussion

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

How much for chilliwack and chilliwack lake?

If it verifies, Chilliwack might be a lake!

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

How come? All I see is a November in a La Nina in a very wet/cool fall so far. At face value that seems almost a sure bet for more active weather than not. Maybe a couple days of ridging here and there if we're lucky.

I’m still with Nito on this one and rooting for a mild and ridgy November. Those tend to be correlated with snowy Decembers and/or Januaries in La Niña years.

[Roberts Creeker]

Rainfall warning for Victoria. 50 mm tonight through Thursday. No warning or SWS for the Sunshine Coast...maybe it won't rain here

[Weather101]

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... gr%5Etweet

[Roberts Creeker]

Is your cattle dog pure or mix breed? Beautiful dog!
I haven’t seen one with a coat that dark.
I will try to post a pic of mine. He’s my world!
They are such a smart breed.

Hello SnowGranny, nice to see you back

Kita is supposed to be an Australian Shepard x Border Collie but I think she has a bit of something else too, she's quite big for both of those breeds. She was a light blue merle as a puppy but is mostly black now. This pic was from 6 years ago. She is super smart, I'm glad I have the farm for her to entertain herself on.

[Roberts Creeker]

Hey Ms. Creeks
Here is my dog

He/she is beautiful! Such a wise look. My first dog was a Blue Heeler x. Other than the white patch on his forehead he looked more like a stout Rottweiler, taking after his dad.

[Roberts Creeker]

Nice shots Ms. Roaringcreeks, l was going to ask if you had some shots of the damage. what breed is your pup?

She's an Australian Shepherd x Border Collie, plus something bigger I think.

I managed to get the tree cut off my fence with my too short saw and a 4' pry bar, what a job. I'm happy to have my fence back up again, a neighbour had their sheep killed by a couple of dogs so this should keep them off.

[AbbyJr]

How much for chilliwack and chilliwack lake?

70-100 mm is possible.

[Typeing3]

00z GFS is cool and active past day 10.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_39.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_47.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_57.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_64.png

[Glacier]

If it verifies, Chilliwack might be a lake!

Fun FACT: Chilliwack used to be a lake. Well, actually it used to flood most years and the lake was west of Chilliwack, called Sumas Lake. After the great flood of 1894 which flooded all of Chilliwack and all the way into Abbotsford, they decided to start planning to change things. 100 years ago they spent an entire year draining the lake and moving the Chilliwack west.

Here are some picks...

sumaslake.jpg

sumaslake10.jpg

sumaslake7.jpg

sumaslake4.jpg

sumas.jpg

[Typeing3]

Fun FACT: Chilliwack used to be a lake. Well, actually it used to flood most years and the lake was west of Chilliwack, called Sumas Lake. After the great flood of 1894 which flooded all of Chilliwack and all the way into Abbotsford, they decided to start planning to change things. 100 years ago they spent an entire year draining the lake and moving the Chilliwack west.

Here are some picks...

sumaslake.jpg

sumaslake10.jpg

sumaslake7.jpg

sumaslake4.jpg

sumas.jpg

Assuming that's one of the reasons why Vedder Canal was built? Seems like that diverts the water away from the Sumas Prairie.

[Weather101]

Raining now

[Typeing3]

00z GFS ensembles:

ens_image.png

00z GEM ensembles:

ens_image (1).png

[PortKells]

I’m still with Nito on this one and rooting for a mild and ridgy November. Those tend to be correlated with snowy Decembers and/or Januaries in La Niña years.

Ooh definitely..but rooting for and expectations are two very different things! There will be a ridge at some point, let's hope it's followed by the goods.

[Hawk]

in 1984 on Halloween night, Abbotsford dropped down to -7.5c. Is this a rumour or correct?