November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Weather101
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Hawk wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 3:30 pm Kind of anomalous how these Lows off the coast can be dropping snow levels down so far, and so early in November. Oh right...daaaaa. Cold SST's. Normally temps would spike to 14c with snow levels at 2600m or so. Glad Mr Blob is long gone

Anyone look at the current SST's? :shock: :shock: :shock:

https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/
It would suck that this pattern only lasts for this month and disappears come December when we could really use it.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Antares wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 12:22 pm We're gonna get buried. :clap: :clap: :wave:
Yup looks great for you the next 7-10 days :clap: :clap:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Western NA will be under the influence of persistent troffing through December. Transient ridges may provide some periodic relief from the cool/wet pattern. The local mountains will have a substantial snowpack by the start of December. With the current #patternlock, expect a cool/wet and likely above average snowy month of December in the PNW lowlands.
-Hawkstradamus :lol: :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-mslp_ens_min-6437600.png
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 3:55 pm ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-mslp_ens_min-6437600.png
Oh :think:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 3:55 pm ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-mslp_ens_min-6437600.png
Does...does that say 939?
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 3:55 pm ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-mslp_ens_min-6437600.png
939mb low :shock:
:typing: :type3:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

VanCitySouth wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 9:52 am Crass corporatism is usually the answer/cause.
The supply and demand economy, whereby the demand for undesired items is stimulated by creating social obligations for third parties to purchase and supply them to recipients.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 2:59 pm ECMWF showing wet snow accumulations for our area this weekend. Something must have gone wrong because temps are between +6 to +9 . :lol:
It’s been showing that for some time. I think it is an artifact of the modeling, causing forecast snow in the Coast Mountains to slop over into the adjacent lowlands.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 6:13 pm It’s been showing that for some time. I think it is an artifact of the modeling, causing forecast snow in the Coast Mountains to slop over into the adjacent lowlands.
The modeling resolution has gotten brutal in recent years. Temps will be running near +6 with 1000m freezing levels yet some snow being shown over SL..
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Lock it in! :D :clap: :lol:
cfs-monthly-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_month_mostrecent-8316800.png
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Komo

The wild weather doesn't stop there. Signs are pointing to the possibility of a damaging wind storm by Tuesday. As always, this low would have to thread itself just right through our topography to cause widespread problems for Puget Sound. We'll keep you posted along the way!
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tyweather
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Clown range chilly alert!

BTW does anyone know how to change a password if you don't remember your password? Is there any way to email a temporary password or link from email? I got logged out on one of my devices but it doesn't save passwords.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

tyweather wrote: Thu Nov 04, 2021 10:54 pm Clown range chilly alert!

BTW does anyone know how to change a password if you don't remember your password? Is there any way to email a temporary password or link from email? I got logged out on one of my devices but it doesn't save passwords.
Depends, what are you talking about? Here? If you change your password it will obviously change on all devices. We can reset it as well.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
00z GEM ensembles:
ens_image (6).png
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:typing: :type3:
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