November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[PortKells]

Something to keep an eye on...

ens_image (42).png

[PortKells]

Closer..

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8468000.png

[Typeing3]

I went through some more data and it seems like more of the numbers in the tweet are off. Here's what I see based on the data and using the timeframe he set. And again... would be helpful if someone with twitter could point this out to him.

Nov 1990 AR totals (7th-10th)

Hope: 354.5mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1990

Agassiz: 204.2mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Chilliwack: 201.1mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Abbotsford: 173.6mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1990

Mission: 199.4mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Stave Falls: 264.7mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Pitt Meadows: 156.8mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Port Coquitlam: 148.3mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Port Moody: 166.2mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Burnaby Mountain: 159.9mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Vancouver (YVR): 88.3mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... 0&Month=11#

North Vancouver 2nd Narrows: 145.3mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

North Vancouver (North Lonsdale): 212.6mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

West Vancouver (Capilano): 213.3mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

[Flakey]

Thank you for your department's dedicated service. I'm sure you can understand people's frustrations after hundreds needlessly died mere months ago and the government reaction once again appears reactive. It does appear Washington was more proactive with their warning system. But regardless there is a lot happening behind the scenes we don't see or know about, as you pointed out.

Agree on how slow govt can be to react and even though where I work has us practicing for emergencies all the time it is almost impossible to recreate real time situations. Unfortunately we ignore major infrastructure issues until it is too late. Thanks to everybody for all the great posts.

[AbbyJr]

Again... I don't know where is he getting the data for Hope. He said in one reply he tallied up the totals from Nov 7-10th, 1990 for these totals.

Based on that and checking airport records on the EC site for Nov 1990, it shows 25.8mm on the 7th, 25.1mm on the 8th, 173.1mm on the 9th followed by 130.5mm on Nov 10th. Total = 354.5mm. Not 197mm.

Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1990

Someone who has twitter... can you reply to his tweet and ask him.

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 28386?s=20

[Typeing3]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 28386?s=20

Thanks. If you see my next post above, the numbers shown in the tweet for Chilliwack, Agassiz, Abbotsford and Vancouver were off too.

[Typeing3]

I see some people are bringing up the Jan 1935 event in the comments under his tweet.

Coquitlam Lake had 532.4mm of rain fall in 4 days on top of a 100cm+ snowpack during that event.

Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1935

[tyweather]

Good news, Abbotsford and Chilliwack are connected once again.

[Typeing3]

Found another similar historical event...

November 1909 AR event totals (26th-29th)

Agassiz: 238.3mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1909

North Nicomen (Deroche): 228.1mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... imeframe=2

Stave Falls: 196.3mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1909

Coquitlam: 199.1mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1909

New Westminster: 172.2mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1909

Vancouver PMO (Downtown): 187.2mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1909

Victoria Gonzales: 132.9mm
Source: https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_d ... &Year=1909

[Weather101]

Easy to sling mud from the comfort of your home. Work for a govt agency that had people working through the night to make sure our sewer system didn't fail, your welcome. It also takes local media more time to put things together than somebody sending a tweet.

You know bud instead of coming in like a hot shot you know what you could of done ? Simply educated and explained what we don’t know and that would of been gladly and greatly accepted.

Your welcome

[Flakey]

You know bud instead of coming in like a hot shot you know what you could of done ? Simply educated and explained what we don’t know and that would of been gladly and greatly accepted.

Your welcome

Sorry about offending you hopefully some emoji's will make it all better.

[PortKells]

You know bud instead of coming in like a hot shot you know what you could of done ? Simply educated and explained what we don’t know and that would of been gladly and greatly accepted.

Your welcome

Ok. Let's chill guys. Everybody's position is defensible, no need to sling mud right now. Things will become clearer soon.

[Roberts Creeker]

Ok. Let's chill guys. Everybody's position is defensible, no need to sling mud right now. Things will become clearer soon.

Plenty of mud to go around right now.

2.3c and falling and the water buckets are icing up already.

[Weather101]

Sorry about offending you hopefully some emoji's will make it all better.

No it’s war

Lol just joking man it’s all good no hard feelings at all.

[Monty]

I’m curious if the lack of snow in the Mountains makes the runoff faster. A deep snowpack can absorb a lot of water if the temps are only slightly above freezing at higher elevations.