November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

gfs-deterministic-nhemi-z500_anom-1637841600-1638468000-1638986400-20.gif
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:57 am There goes the goofus again :roll:



gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-instant_ptype-1637841600-1638748800-1638900000-40.gif
It is starting to be something of a trend. Still clown range, so it can’t be counted on by any means, but the possibility of it verifying cannot be dismissed, either. Would be totally in character for a La Niña.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

I remember December 1990 being like this; a wet November and early December, with flirtations with low level snow in December. Then after the !6th, we had a good run of cold weather. One never knows...
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 7:23 am ARaAR :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
#patternlock Buttie
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Hawk wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:24 am Yes not sure how they allow him to be right near the action all the time :think: :think:
I think I heard him say the machines woke them up while they were in their house, so I'm guessing they live around there.

I believe there are some homes around Sowaqua Creek.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

GFS off on it's own again.

It keeps hinting at things turning favorable for low elevation snow around that period, but the ensembles don't want to agree.... yet.

:dunno:
gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(2).jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Catnip wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 9:50 am GFS off on it's own again.

It keeps hinting at things turning favorable for low elevation snow around that period, but the ensembles don't want to agree.... yet.

:dunno:

gfs-vancouver-ca-49n-123(2).jpeg
Actually the ensembles suddenly discovered there will be a deep trough, heading east of course.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

PortKells wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 9:53 am Actually the ensembles suddenly discovered there will be a deep trough, heading east of course.
Naturally!

:lol: :lol:

:cry: :cry:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Patience young ones.

The cold will come by February/March. :thumbup:
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 10:02 am Patience young ones.

The cold will come by February/March. :thumbup:
#climo

#beginningofFEB

:angel: :wave:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 8:26 am It is almost always a bad idea to bet against Team 10°C Rain.
It's almost time to cheer for Cherry blossoms!
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 9:35 am I think I heard him say the machines woke them up while they were in their house, so I'm guessing they live around there.

I believe there are some homes around Sowaqua Creek.
He does in fact live in that area.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Nov 25, 2021 10:02 am Patience young ones.

The cold will come by February/March. :thumbup:
Damp April + may
Immediate switch to drought conditions and multiple 45 C heat waves
Rinse and repeat
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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

It's November 25th. It's going to be okay.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Damn. The Euro is really wet the next 6 days.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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