November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

The old AR rain to snow transition followed by arctic air on the long range GFS

’Twould be nice to get the snow as the arctic blast comes in, so we get to enjoy it for a while. More often it comes as part of a sloppy transition event as the mild marine air returns. I keep talking about 1990 as an analog; the snow came early-on in that arctic blast (at least it did in Seattle).

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Wouldn’t be surprised Mr sleeping with the fishes.

It’s the #yearofextremes

if that's all l'm sleeping with l'm lucky.

[Catnip]

Current Nooksack level:

547B53A6-FED6-4D9F-9E7A-C529A24F702D.jpeg

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

’Twould be nice to get the snow as the arctic blast comes in, so we get to enjoy it for a while. More often it comes as part of a sloppy transition event as the mild marine air returns. I keep talking about 1990 as an analog; the snow came early-on in that arctic blast (at least it did in Seattle).

l remember all the Nov/90 flooding in western Washington that year.
I'm sure we had our share but don't recall as much as seeing pics. on Kiro/Komo/King and Q13.

[Typeing3]

l stand corrected T yes the event we were discussing the othe day. Was 91/92 a dud winter l recall we had that snow the end of October?

Looking through the historical data again... the day you remember having warm rain/drizzle in the morning was the 27th. Arctic air passed through later that night. It was really only "warm" between both arctic blasts between the evening of the 26th and the evening of the 27th.

And yeah, 91-92 was pretty crap. Little cold/snow event in late October though.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Looking through the historical data again... the day you remember having warm rain/drizzle in the morning was the 27th. Arctic air passed through later that night. It was really only "warm" between both arctic blasts between the evening of the 26th and the evening of the 27th.

And yeah, 91-92 was pretty crap. Little cold/snow event in late October though.

Yes l remember that day well, it was the holiday's and l was amped up for the arrival of Arctic air and listening to John Paschold all day l think l was more exotic than my kids back then. Yes 91/92 was so depressing but 92/92 was also good Dec had snow and Jan/93 was outstanding.

[tyweather]

l stand corrected T yes the event we were discussing the othe day. Was 91/92 a dud winter l recall we had that snow the end of October?

Yes, that winter was an El Nino dud. We also had some wet flakes in February but it didn't stick. I remember hoping that it would start accumulating but it didn't.

[Typeing3]

l remember all the Nov/90 flooding in western Washington that year.
I'm sure we had our share but don't recall as much as seeing pics. on Kiro/Komo/King and Q13.

Sumas prairie flooded in Nov'90 too. Not as bad as this time though, even though rainfall amounts were similar.
https://mobile.twitter.com/chiefserr/st ... 8524952576

11875267_web1_1990-sumas-flood.jpg

[Typeing3]

Yes l remember that day well, it was the holiday's and l was amped up for the arrival of Arctic air and listening to John Paschold all day l think l was more exotic than my kids back then. Yes 91/92 was so depressing but 92/92 was also good Dec had snow and Jan/93 was outstanding.

'92-93 was similar to 2016-17 with a persistent chill from mid December onwards with lots of wet snow events and over a month with snow on the ground. Only difference is we had a legit arctic blast in early January and a big snowstorm. Jan '93 was the last month to average below freezing at YVR.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Sumas prairie flooded in Nov'90 too. Not as bad as this time though, even though rainfall amounts were similar.
https://mobile.twitter.com/chiefserr/st ... 8524952576
11875267_web1_1990-sumas-flood.jpg

Wow, again l was in Coquitlam up on Austin heights l'm sure l saw it on the news but when your living removed from it you forget easily not like now where l'm living it all around me.
You don't realize the severity of it until your near it.

[Abby_wx]

Getting nasty out here... 8.2 mm just in the past hour. Still nothing like two weeks ago when I had 13.8 mm in a single hour, and probably six hours straight of 10+ mm/hr.

[Coquitlam79]

[quote=tyweather post_id=662621 time=1638078206 user_id=671]
Yes, that winter was an El Nino dud. We also had some wet flakes in February but it didn't stick. I remember hoping that it would start accumulating but it didn't.

It was bookended with 2 great winters though. 92-93 was a good one too. Lots of snow in late Dec and then a long dry spell with Arctic air through much of January 93 with the snow on the ground for weeks. Dry and cold February too.

[HarrisonSasquatchWx]

Wow yes you never forget the good ones you may need a little help with the data but you can pretty much remember the event and certain day's during.

[Typeing3]

’Twould be nice to get the snow as the arctic blast comes in, so we get to enjoy it for a while. More often it comes as part of a sloppy transition event as the mild marine air returns. I keep talking about 1990 as an analog; the snow came early-on in that arctic blast (at least it did in Seattle).

We didn't have a huge snowstorm going into the initial arctic blast like Seattle did but still had about a month with snow on the ground.

[Hound]

you may need a little help with the date pie...

Huh?