November 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:13 pm

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:13 pm

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:25 pm

Snow event Sunday.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25.png

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:35 pm

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:25 pm Snow event Sunday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_25.png

Hey typeing3 instead of a AR event every Sunday we got something else here Ã¢Ââ€žÃ¯Â¸Â

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:37 pm

Only 6 days away!

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:38 pm

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:39 pm

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:37 pm Only 6 days away!

150 hours out is getting in range where we can start paying attention.

VanCitySouth · Post by **VanCitySouth** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:39 pm

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:37 pm Only 6 days away!

#warningshot

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:42 pm

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:39 pm 150 hours out is getting in range where we can start paying attention.

Yup anything 6 days out and closer is where I start to really pay attention as it could happen

Weather101 · Post by **Weather101** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:43 pm

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:39 pm #warningshot

#Surprises

VanCitySouth · Post by **VanCitySouth** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:50 pm

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:42 pm Yup anything 6 days out and closer is where I start to really pay attention as it could happen

Not gonna lie this still looks like a massive outlier to me and a probably 5% chance, if that, but it's non-zero, and we gotta start somewhere.

wetcoast91 · Post by **wetcoast91** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:51 pm

Hahaha 18Z GFS shows a 3 day AR.

Gets colder after but still.

arbetrader · Post by **arbetrader** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:52 pm

Hawk wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 9:26 am Whoa. That is ridiculous!! lol we are talking almost 3 feet of rain?

Total precip was actually 914mm equivalent, as they also received 47cm of snow that month. Almost too surreal to believe.

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:56 pm

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:51 pm Hahaha 18Z GFS shows a 3 day AR.

Gets colder after but still.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Nov 29, 2021 3:03 pm

Weather101 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 29, 2021 2:35 pm Hey typeing3 instead of a AR event every Sunday we got something else here Ã¢Ââ€žÃ¯Â¸Â

Dont jinx it!