December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

This is a new symbol to me, cloud with a - representing clearing. I'm happy to see that!
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:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

18z GFS looks a smudge warmer for Sun night into Monday.

:alert:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HughCorne »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 12:37 pm :alert: 12z NAM
Screenshot_20211201-123700_Samsung Internet.jpg
King NAM :thumbup:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:11 pm 18z GFS looks a smudge warmer for Sun night into Monday.

:alert:
Hmm, I was about to say, it's further north with that one.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:11 pm 18z GFS looks a smudge warmer for Sun night into Monday.

:alert:
Fairly strong system being modeled. I'd expect it to trend north.
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Catnip
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:11 pm 18z GFS looks a smudge warmer for Sun night into Monday.

:alert:
Is that more or less than a notch?

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:alert: :alert: :alert:
36E827F5-24AA-4DD2-A38F-1CE95B388FF5.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Storm »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:26 pm :alert: :alert: :alert:

36E827F5-24AA-4DD2-A38F-1CE95B388FF5.png
28C20CF0-E257-42A5-AC8C-F8566786D26C.thumb.jpeg.15765ed43ea4d13a9123d1dffb3f26f9.jpeg.jpg
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:28 pm 28C20CF0-E257-42A5-AC8C-F8566786D26C.thumb.jpeg.15765ed43ea4d13a9123d1dffb3f26f9.jpeg.jpg
:alert: :alert: :alert:

FEETZ!!

P.S. The siren smilie is awesome!

:lol: :lol:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Catnip wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:26 pm :alert: :alert: :alert:

36E827F5-24AA-4DD2-A38F-1CE95B388FF5.png
A few more smudges north and it'll be cold rain! :sdance:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Storm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:28 pm 28C20CF0-E257-42A5-AC8C-F8566786D26C.thumb.jpeg.15765ed43ea4d13a9123d1dffb3f26f9.jpeg.jpg
Honestly for Sunday night I'd be happy with 1/4 of that map...realistically speaking an SFU special is far more likely, especially because we're actually still 4.5+ days out.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:32 pm Honestly for Sunday night I'd be happy with 1/4 of that map...realistically speaking an SFU special is far more likely, especially because we're actually still 4.5+ days out.
GFS is still on crack. There's absolutely no way we see 15-30cm.

Gotta divide those totals by 10 for a more realistic scenario.
:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

2007-08.
gfs_z500a_npac_30.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 01, 2021 2:35 pm GFS is still on crack. There's absolutely no way we see 15-30cm.

Gotta divide those totals by 10 for a more realistic scenario.
While it's highly unlikely that these snowy GFS maps will verify, I do think they are a hint of what's to come mid month. My confidence in a memorable cold and snowy pattern this month is increasing but I think the GFS is just too quick with the cold and snow. :thumbup:
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Alaska sure has been cold recently.
https://twitter.com/AlaskaWx/status/145 ... n-years%2F
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