December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:28 pm Each run is trending warmer. Good news is that we avoid any messy transition because it warms aloft before the precip arrives. :thumbup:

Image
Maybe in a few more runs there will be no precip. :twisted:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Wild day for temperature in Waterton Park today.
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

tyweather wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:30 pm Wild day for temperature in Waterton Park today.
How does the temperature change 17C in one hour? How? We can't even get it to change 17C in one DAY let alone one hour.
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Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z ECMWF

Day 4 trend - last four 00z runs
ecmwf_T850a_nwus_fh120_trend.gif
Day 5 trend - last four 00z runs
ecmwf_T850a_nwus_fh144_trend.gif
:blowtor: :13fire:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:30 pm Maybe in a few more runs there will be no precip. :twisted:
Trough is digging more offshore. Means a warmer SW flow.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:33 pm 00z ECMWF

Day 4 trend - last four 00z runs
ecmwf_T850a_nwus_fh120_trend.gif
Day 5 trend - last four 00z runs
ecmwf_T850a_nwus_fh144_trend.gif
:blowtor: :13fire:
Definitely looking like a thaw coming. Wash all this white stuff off my land. Bring back the green. Hope it didn’t go yellow.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Radar »

Hmm. Snow still holding on. Hit the one inch mark now.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:40 pm Trough is digging more offshore. Means a warmer SW flow.
Euro has been Sh*t. While I do believe there will be a warm up I think it's being overdone.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Officially a high/low of -7.8c/-15.3c at YVR today.
Screenshot_2021-12-27-22-41-31(1).png
-7.8c = 17th coldest daily high on record* for Vancouver.
-15.3c = 22nd coldest temp on record* for Vancouver


*Records back to 1898
*1898-1936 data from Downtown Vancouver station
*1937-present data from YVR
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I do wish it'd clear up so we can cool down in a hurry again.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:43 pm Euro has been Sh*t. While I do believe there will be a warm up I think it's being overdone.
+6C by Monday will feel like +12C! :dancepine:

Gets chilly in the LR though.
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:45 pm +6C by Monday will feel like +12C! :dancepine:

Gets chilly in the LR though.
Chilly like reload chilly or 1.5C rain chilly?

Oh wait. Forget I asked. I know which one you pick.
Last edited by VanCitySouth on Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Still light flurries here and not amounting to much anymore. I've just been sitting in my living room and staring at the street light. Something peaceful about watching snow fall.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:45 pm +6C by Monday will feel like +12C! :dancepine:

Gets chilly in the LR though.
Certainly a lot stronger with the NPAC blocking day 6+. Maybe a fast warm up but a quicker cool down?

:dunno:
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Re: December 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Mon Dec 27, 2021 10:49 pm Certainly a lot stronger with the NPAC blocking day 6+. Maybe a fast warm up but a quicker cool down?

:dunno:
That’s some insanely anomalous ridging moving into Alaska but we need a little more help from the northeast pacific ridge so that the energy doesn’t dig offshore
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