January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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stuffradio
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Some cold and snow in Feb?
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-indiv_snow-2485600.png
gfs-ensemble-all-CYXX-height_temp-2485600.png
gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-2485600.png
cmc-ensemble-all-CYXX-height_temp-2464000.png
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PortKells
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Some signs of a southeast ridge? Tell em' hawker!

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-3868000.png
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Hawk
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 7:49 am Some signs of a southeast ridge? Tell em' hawker!


gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom-3868000.png
Signs? Better wait a few frames and days to see the direction this goes :think: :think:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Full week of dry after Thursday.

Tell em' T3!
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:36 am Full week of dry after Thursday.

Tell em' T3!
And then what Neety? snow. :thumbup:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:44 am And then what Neety? snow. :thumbup:
Tell em' Sards!
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

PortKells wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:54 am Tell em' Sards!
l wish Kells, :lol:
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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Hawk
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I'll believe that when it happens..not 3-10 days away. We havent had a dry stretch like that since Summer :shh:
I'm thinking some rain will show up somewhere in there :x :x
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Ridge looks mighty impressive, with an offshore or S wind component throughout the 10-12 day period after Thursday. Wouldn't be surprised to see models trend warmer with surface temps (10-14C under sunshine) on some days.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 9:00 am Ridge looks mighty impressive, with an offshore or S wind component throughout the 10-12 day period after Thursday. Wouldn't be surprised to see models trend warmer with surface temps (10-14C under sunshine) on some days.
It does not look like a good setup for fake cold, but that said surface temps seldom achieve what they theoretically can at this time of year in these situations. Significant inversions happen. Nights are just too long for them not to.

Sure beats more AR’s. I, for one, welcome our new ridge overlords.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Hawk wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:56 am I'll believe that when it happens..not 3-10 days away. We havent had a dry stretch like that since Summer :shh:
I'm thinking some rain will show up somewhere in there :x :x
These pauses in the wintertime action are more common than major arctic blasts. Closer to climo norms = model more likely to verify.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (13).png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

https://mobile.twitter.com/AnthonyFarne ... 9520414723

https://mobile.twitter.com/robsobs/stat ... 6057769987

https://mobile.twitter.com/WxPatel/stat ... 9922720771

https://mobile.twitter.com/YYZ_Weather/ ... 8945253377

https://mobile.twitter.com/YYZ_Weather/ ... 1259556868
:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

SouthSardiswx wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 8:55 am l wish Kells, :lol:
Whoa Sardine you got a cool new colour for your name!
2025-26 season stats:
Climo :cancel: ∞ to 0.5 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 0.5 cm and TWO traces!
Peak depth: 0.5 cm (01/07/2026)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Jan 18, 2022 1:56 pm Whoa Sardine you got a cool new colour for your name!
Too blue, toss it out.
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