January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Analogues for this February: 1956, 1971, 1985, 1989, 2011, 2014, 2018.

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 6950953990
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

#beginningofFEB
7B130E85-F4D1-4C2C-B0AE-C396797EA4F0.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2025-2026 Snowfall - ZERO.OOcm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

#BeginningOfFeb

https://mobile.twitter.com/judah47/stat ... 1615869957

https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/ ... 6300817418
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

https://mobile.twitter.com/ensembleator ... 2399329282

https://mobile.twitter.com/ECCCWeatherB ... 7362344961
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 10:38 am Still here. We had our 3rd kid last week, so I'll be reading more than posting for a while. :shock:
Congratulations!!
Here's hoping #3 is a sleeper :D
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 12:04 pm I don't know. He keeps LOLing at people
Spring. It happens to the best of us :lol: :lol:
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:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 4:01 pm Analogues for this February: 1956, 1971, 1985, 1989, 2011, 2014, 2018.
I put those analogs in on the reanalysis website (except 2018 since the data is only available up to 2015) and this was the 500mb pattern.
febreanalysis.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 4:31 pm I put those analogs in on the reanalysis website (except 2018 since the data is only available up to 2015) and this was the 500mb pattern.

febreanalysis.png
I included 2018 here.
vlZCYDAi0l.png
Use this one: https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/compo ... intpage.pl
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 4:51 pm I included 2018 here.

vlZCYDAi0l.png

Use this one: https://psl.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/data/compo ... intpage.pl
Thanks so much. I will update my bookmarks with the link you gave me. :D :thumbup:
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 5:05 pm Thanks so much. I will update my bookmarks with the link you gave me. :D :thumbup:
No problem!

If we follow those analogues into March, it looks like more of the same. As we know colder than normal Feb/Mar combos for Western Canada/PNW are textbook in a La Nina.
fxVoSZkeJF.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

850mb temp anomalies for Feb based on the aforementioned analogue years.
fopS1w5X0p.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Nito, how cold it's going to get? Thanks in advance
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 5:58 pm Nito, how cold it's going to get? Thanks in advance
+18 degrees!!

(Fahrenheit)
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 6:02 pm +18 degrees!!

(Fahrenheit)
Absolute zero.




chance of that happening
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Re: January 2022 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 21, 2022 3:38 pm That would be Brookings I think.
Ahh yes. Brookings effect. North bend is further north. It gets warm there but it’s no Brookings.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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