February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

ExtraPotentialSnow :o
500h_anom.na.png
:think:
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_31.png
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_37.png[/attachment [attachment=0]image.gif.67cb7fe415d43253eb22a064bbb41f8f.gif
Ripped from the AF folks. :D
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Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/ ... wx_pwsdash
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HarrisonSasquatchWx
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Models got you bummed out join us in the general chat lots of topics to discuss this morning,
John will be there.
It's cloudy and 5c @ the pond in south Sardis
Current conditions in Harrison Hot Springs:
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PortKells
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Lies!

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6157600 (1).png
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Roberts Creeker
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 6:22 am Lies!


gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_10to1_cm-6157600 (1).png
But why does it have to be lies??? :cry: :cry: Wouldn't it be nice... :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by HarrisonSasquatchWx »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 8:42 am But why does it have to be lies??? :cry: :cry: Wouldn't it be nice... :flakey: :flakey: :flakey:
Well l think Kells is anxious to move on to gardening season Ms. Floweringcreeks but IMO even models that act badly and continue to tell lies could end up like this. :o
1q3.gif
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles
ens_image.png
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

EPS bottoms out 850s at -11C early next week. There will be some notably cold mornings especially where the wind dies off.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

SouthSardiswx wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 9:36 am Well l think Kells is anxious to move on to gardening season Ms. Floweringcreeks but IMO even models that act badly and continue to tell lies could end up like this. :o
1q3.gif
I'm totally down for more snow or even mountain snow but that map was just too juicy to be true unfortunately.
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png
18z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
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Last edited by Typeing3 on Wed Feb 16, 2022 4:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 12:12 pm EPS bottoms out 850s at -11C early next week. There will be some notably cold mornings especially where the wind dies off.
All those flowers and buds blooming prematurely in some areas are gonna be in trouble.
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Looking like the second best snap of the winter :o Maybe we can sneak this winter back into A territory with some snowprises?
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 3:51 pm 12z ECMWF ensembles:
ens_image (1).png

18z GFS ensembles:
ens_image (3).png
:shock:
Whoa this is legit. Where was this a few days ago? Looks pretty chilly...for one day anyways :lol: :lol:
Looking forward to our first 3 day stretch of sun and 20c++ 8-)
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 6:55 pm :shock:
Whoa this is legit. Where was this a few days ago? Looks pretty chilly...for one day anyways :lol: :lol:
Easy come, easy go. Now you see it, now you don't....I could go on :lol: :lol:
:team: :flakey: :flakey:

Snow total: 1cm Dec 24, 1cm Feb 19
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Hawk wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 6:55 pm :shock:
Whoa this is legit. Where was this a few days ago? Looks pretty chilly...for one day anyways :lol: :lol:
It's weird almost every cold snap shows up in the clown range, disappears in the mid range and then suddenly re-emerges only a few days away. Looks like a quick hitter but you never know..
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Re: February 2022 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Man. I don't think the words out yet, it's dead on here. I want to point out the most recent gfs ensemble is now negative almost the entire way. Solid improvement for an extended cold snap.

#endoffebruary
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